NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	80		Excitement	5.8 [639]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +12.8%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.0 [1049]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -23.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.02	12	77%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	11%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	21	30%	-0.14	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	21	45%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	8	33%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	0.3	29.6	15.0	25.1	2.5	36.2	131.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +26.1%

ATL +0.3%

ATL +17.1%

ATL +3.8%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ATL	NBA	NOH	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.7	88.9	102.3	100.5
season	16.0	15.3		99.3	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.5	15.6	14.5	15.3	16.0
ATL	14.9	18.0	16.2	16.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	41	40	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-20	30	14.4	17.2	-2.83	16.9	16.0	0.90
Steven Smith	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.10	8	-18	26	14.5	16.4	-1.99	16.6	16.3	0.24
Darrell Armstrong	50	50	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-14	18	14.2	18.2	-3.99	16.1	16.9	-0.81
Stacey Augmon	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	15.6	16.0	-0.36	17.3	16.3	0.99
Sean Rooks	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-8	6	15.9	16.0	-0.05	15.0	16.6	-1.63
David West	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-11	12	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Jamaal Magloire	46	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	3	-16	17.7	14.1	3.60	17.4	15.5	1.95
P.J. Brown	65	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	16.0	15.9	0.05	16.3	16.6	-0.27
George Lynch	49	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	9	-28	17.3	14.4	2.88	15.9	17.0	-1.17
David Wesley	68	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	-1	-8	15.6	17.1	-1.50	15.9	18.1	-2.21
Baron Davis	75	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	6	-22	16.9	11.5	5.39	16.8	14.5	2.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-5	20	16.2	17.2	-1.02	16.4	14.4	1.94
Jacque Vaughn	88	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	16.4	0.0	16.41	16.0	0.0	15.96
Dion Glover	74	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	16.9	13.8	3.12	16.3	13.8	2.47
Stephen Jackson	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	16.2	17.6	-1.42	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Lee Nailon	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	10	-10	17.9	15.7	2.18	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Theo Ratliff	47	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	-5	20	16.0	16.9	-0.88	16.8	14.8	2.00
Boris Diaw	27	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	12	-14	15.6	16.8	-1.12	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Nazr Mohammed	33	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.20	-10	20	-30	16.2	16.5	-0.32	14.4	16.8	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
DET 99, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.99,1	94.0%
TOR 100, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	93.7%