NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	6.4 [546]		MVP	Luol Deng (CLE): +13.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.4 [511]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -22.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	53%	0.16	1	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Nando De Colo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.07	-0.03	0.04	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	5	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.04	-0.03	0.10	18	51%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	16	33%	-0.15	1	-0.08	7	43%	-0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	-0.00	13	63%	0.20	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	83%	0.13	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	8	55%	0.13	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	57%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	35.4	15.4	25.2	1.8	40.3	142.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.4%

CLE +21.0%

CLE +1.4%

TOR -12.2%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.9	14.6	15.1	109.9	110.9	105.2
season	15.9	15.2		107.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.7	18.2	14.3	16.2	16.9
CLE	12.6	13.1	17.0	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	30	31	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.39	21	-23	44	13.1	18.7	-5.60	18.4	12.7	5.71
Charles Hayes	29	28	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.30	17	-19	36	14.5	18.0	-3.48	17.4	13.4	4.07
Nando De Colo	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	1	-4	19.9	16.5	3.38	8.8	15.3	-6.50
John Salmons	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-1	0	17.3	16.7	0.58	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Tyler Hansbrough	15	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	20.7	16.1	4.60	11.2	15.4	-4.12
Greivis Vasquez	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	16.2	17.5	-1.28	15.1	14.1	1.07
Kyle Lowry	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-2	2	16.7	17.3	-0.58	14.5	14.8	-0.35
DeMar DeRozan	70	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	16.9	16.7	0.23	15.1	12.7	2.40
Terrence Ross	63	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	4	-10	17.3	16.0	1.29	14.8	14.3	0.46
Jonas Valanciunas	36	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	25	-52	19.4	15.2	4.18	11.5	16.6	-5.04
Amir Johnson	65	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	4	-10	16.9	16.8	0.17	14.4	15.1	-0.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	82	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	-2	6	14.4	15.9	-1.46	17.0	15.5	1.52
Jarrett Jack	72	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	15.1	12.6	2.49	16.5	18.0	-1.50
Luol Deng	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.48	-2	4	-6	14.7	14.1	0.63	16.2	20.9	-4.77
Anderson Varejao	46	45	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	4	-6	14.0	15.2	-1.15	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Matthew Dellavedova	49	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.54	-8	10	-18	15.0	14.2	0.82	17.2	16.6	0.57
Tristan Thompson	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-7	16	14.9	14.2	0.66	17.5	16.2	1.28
Spencer Hawes	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-6	14	13.8	15.3	-1.45	17.4	16.5	0.87
Alonzo Gee	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	2	-2	14.3	14.7	-0.35	17.1	16.8	0.26
Tyler Zeller	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	3	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.12	19.2	16.4	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1	93.7%
BOS 102, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.47,0.67,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.95,1	93.4%
LAL 85, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.1%