inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 129 Excitement3.2 [1172] MVPSerge Ibaka (TOR): +16.1%
Charlotte Hornets 111 Comeback1.5 [740] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (CHA): -5.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.010.001675%0.181-0.0200%0.00
OG Anunoby0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.210.010.099105%0.131-0.0110%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.000.071578%0.145-0.07683%0.00
Pascal Siakam0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.030.03860%0.0500.004100%0.02
Fred VanVleet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02850%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01779%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03650%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Malcolm Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Delon Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.05556%-0.0200.00683%-0.00
Norman Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.01937%-0.021-0.001100%-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.22-0.000.091773%0.141-0.011080%-0.02
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01650%0.0100.002100%0.01
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03667%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mangok Mathiang00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02371%0.0010.001100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.050.000.05868%0.032-0.03683%0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.021250%0.012-0.04683%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.011142%-0.0300.0020%-0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.03837%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011033%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.00350%-0.033-0.03475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.627.714.629.72.427.4126.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +53.9%
TOR +0.8%
TOR +1.1%
CHA -6.1%
TOR +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHANBATORCHANBA
this game14.114.314.7126.5109.9107.5
season14.614.6112.7108.7
opponent14.514.8108.5105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.915.013.213.514.1
CHA13.317.013.513.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
OG Anunoby67660.60-0.100.70-0.2228-103813.315.6-2.3214.414.00.41
Serge Ibaka60590.390.110.28-0.111711613.215.3-2.0813.914.8-0.85
Kyle Lowry53530.380.120.26-0.00135813.514.8-1.3214.214.4-0.24
Jonas Valanciunas33340.340.160.19-0.071441013.514.4-0.8314.214.3-0.09
DeMar DeRozan63630.300.200.11-0.02117414.014.3-0.3713.615.3-1.72
Delon Wright39380.200.30-0.11-0.01711-414.314.00.3715.313.61.72
Jakob Poeltl48470.140.36-0.220.05315-1214.713.51.2114.713.90.81
Fred VanVleet51500.100.40-0.30-0.02414-1014.913.41.5114.713.90.82
Norman Powell49480.030.47-0.440.06-119-2014.813.41.4014.514.00.48
Pascal Siakam37370.020.48-0.470.10-321-2415.213.51.7014.014.4-0.38
Malcolm Miller10100.000.50-0.500.09-321-2415.314.01.3211.814.5-2.74

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Kaminsky46470.00-0.500.500.000-181815.713.02.7014.713.61.02
Mangok Mathiang10100.00-0.500.50-0.093-212411.814.5-2.7415.314.01.32
Julyan Stone10100.00-0.500.50-0.093-212411.814.5-2.7415.314.01.32
Dwayne Bacon1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-232811.514.6-3.1414.714.00.67
Malik Monk3131-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-212413.414.7-1.2713.714.3-0.53
Michael Carter-Williams3232-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-181814.214.3-0.0714.813.80.98
Johnny O'Bryant III4444-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-151214.114.4-0.2314.713.71.01
Jeremy Lamb5958-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-4-1015.412.72.7013.914.3-0.41
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4648-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-6-614.314.20.1114.014.2-0.24
Nicolas Batum5454-0.39-0.12-0.270.14-180-1814.114.4-0.3414.513.70.79
Dwight Howard5758-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-3-1214.414.10.2313.714.7-1.01
Kemba Walker5960-0.48-0.02-0.460.13-213-2414.713.61.0713.514.9-1.35
Marvin Williams4545-0.500.00-0.500.12-213-2413.315.0-1.7213.314.8-1.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 107, DAL 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
LAL 100, SAS 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.6%
LAL 117, LAC 790.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%