NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	2.9 [1194]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +7.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	1.1 [1149]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -8.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	83%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.03	5	-0.11	7	86%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	48%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	13	39%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	38%	-0.04	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.0	33.2	19.8	29.7	3.0	30.4	146.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.0%

LAL +1.1%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.5	121.9	82.3	106.4
season	14.9	15.7		110.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	14.7	13.5	14.7	14.5
LAC	15.0	16.6	14.2	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	67	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	9	20	14.9	13.4	1.46	14.7	17.4	-2.75
Kobe Bryant	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.28	23	15	8	14.7	13.9	0.81	14.4	17.6	-3.19
Andrew Bynum	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	20	-2	14.7	14.2	0.57	14.9	16.2	-1.36
Derek Fisher	45	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.41	24	14	10	14.3	14.6	-0.38	15.1	15.9	-0.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.40	21	17	4	14.2	14.6	-0.43	15.7	15.4	0.23
Trevor Ariza	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	27	-16	14.7	14.3	0.48	15.6	15.5	0.12
Jordan Farmar	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	24	-10	14.6	14.3	0.38	15.9	15.1	0.73
Lamar Odom	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.42	20	18	2	14.0	14.9	-0.96	16.5	14.6	1.86
Sasha Vujacic	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.33	15	23	-8	13.9	14.7	-0.81	17.6	14.4	3.19
Luke Walton	18	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	32	-26	14.4	14.5	-0.10	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Josh Powell	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	35	-32	14.3	14.5	-0.22	16.7	15.4	1.39
Chris Mihm	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	32	-26	13.4	14.7	-1.28	17.2	15.2	2.07

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-41	44	15.0	15.8	-0.81	13.8	14.8	-0.97
Mike Taylor	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-33	28	16.6	15.3	1.24	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Paul Davis	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-37	36	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.3	14.6	-1.25
Brian Skinner	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-26	14	14.9	16.3	-1.40	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Jason Hart	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-27	16	16.1	15.3	0.79	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Eric Gordon	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.37	-19	-19	0	17.3	14.8	2.46	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Al Thornton	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.54	-27	-11	-16	14.7	17.1	-2.34	14.7	14.1	0.61
Ricky Davis	45	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-18	-2	16.6	14.6	1.93	14.7	14.3	0.37
Baron Davis	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.31	-22	-16	-6	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.7	14.2	0.51
Chris Kaman	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	-14	-10	15.7	15.2	0.49	14.7	14.2	0.50
Cuttino Mobley	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	-14	-10	14.8	16.6	-1.80	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Tim Thomas	38	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.36	-28	-10	-18	16.5	14.9	1.60	15.0	14.1	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAC 107, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
WAS 91, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%