NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	3.0 [1135]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +7.5%
Denver Nuggets	89		Comeback	1.1 [589]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -13.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	-0.00	0.11	19	72%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	60%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Rex Walters	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	72%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	16	59%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	0%	0.00	7	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	60%	0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	86%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.00	-0.03	13	37%	-0.06	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	22.2	15.4	28.4	2.5	21.6	116.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.4%

PHI +8.0%

PHI +7.0%

PHI +1.4%

DEN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	15.6	115.7	87.3	104.4
season	14.7	15.2		101.4	102.3
opponent	15.3	14.7		108.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.7	11.3	16.2	14.4
DEN	11.6	15.7	14.9	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	69	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	3	23	13.2	17.0	-3.83	14.4	12.3	2.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	81	81	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.28	25	4	21	14.1	15.9	-1.78	13.9	13.3	0.58
Derrick Coleman	62	62	0.37	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	9	11	13.1	16.4	-3.30	14.3	13.0	1.22
Rex Walters	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.13	16	13	3	16.1	13.1	3.00	13.4	14.1	-0.65
Allen Iverson	69	70	0.31	0.20	0.11	-0.19	17	12	5	13.3	16.8	-3.56	13.8	13.7	0.11
Scott Williams	22	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	14	1	10.6	15.5	-4.85	16.6	13.0	3.58
Doug Overton	33	32	0.20	0.31	-0.11	-0.15	12	17	-5	16.8	13.3	3.56	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Mark Bradtke	17	17	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	26	-23	16.1	14.1	2.01	13.9	13.8	0.11
Mark Davis	43	42	0.05	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	24	-19	16.4	13.0	3.46	12.6	14.6	-2.04
Mark Hendrickson	33	32	0.03	0.48	-0.45	-0.21	8	21	-13	14.7	14.3	0.33	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Lucious Harris	10	10	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	28	-27	15.7	14.3	1.40	13.1	13.9	-0.77
Michael Cage	25	24	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.09	-3	32	-35	17.2	13.5	3.65	12.2	14.3	-2.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	17	16	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-27	25	13.0	14.0	-0.95	15.3	14.3	1.03
Aaron Williams	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	13.6	13.8	-0.22	16.5	13.9	2.62
Tom Hammonds	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.15	-6	-23	17	13.2	14.2	-1.07	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Brooks Thompson	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-20	11	13.8	13.8	0.02	17.5	13.6	3.92
LaPhonso Ellis	51	52	-0.24	-0.27	0.03	0.08	-11	-18	7	13.4	14.2	-0.84	15.2	13.6	1.57
Bryant Stith	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.23	-19	-10	-9	13.8	13.8	-0.04	13.2	16.9	-3.62
Dale Ellis	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	-9	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.39	13.5	16.5	-3.03
Ervin Johnson	55	54	-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	-10	-9	14.1	13.4	0.72	14.4	14.5	-0.03
Mark Jackson	74	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	-3	-23	14.3	12.5	1.78	13.9	16.0	-2.17
Antonio McDyess	62	62	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	0.34	-29	0	-29	14.7	12.4	2.29	14.2	14.8	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 117, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 112, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%