NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	3.0 [1152]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +10.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	81		Comeback	1.1 [860]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -13.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.01	24	62%	0.14	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	19	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	12	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	18	46%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	7	32%	-0.04	5	-0.09	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.7	26.0	16.0	25.1	2.8	27.2	121.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.2%

WAS +7.4%

WAS +8.9%

WAS +8.6%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.6	96.8	86.2	102.3
season	16.5	15.7		102.2	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	15.5	14.4	17.0	15.8
MEM	12.2	18.0	13.3	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	2	6	15.5	17.9	-2.39	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Tyronn Lue	53	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	2	6	16.8	14.5	2.29	16.2	12.9	3.28
Brendan Haywood	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	3	4	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.2	12.5	3.70
Michael Jordan	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	3	4	15.6	16.4	-0.78	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Christian Laettner	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	0	10	15.5	16.2	-0.70	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Popeye Jones	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	7	-4	16.3	15.5	0.82	15.9	14.0	1.90
Hubert Davis	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	7	-4	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jahidi White	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	15.3	16.2	-0.89	12.5	16.2	-3.70
Chris Whitney	47	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	10	-10	14.9	16.8	-1.96	13.1	16.5	-3.37
Kwame Brown	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	9	-8	17.6	15.6	1.91	15.6	14.7	0.89

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	13.8	15.0	-1.20	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Tony Massenburg	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-12	14	15.8	14.1	1.73	16.2	15.5	0.73
Brevin Knight	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	14.2	15.2	-0.97	16.2	15.5	0.69
Grant Long	37	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.6	0.40	16.8	15.3	1.51
Ike Austin	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	14.1	15.8	-1.73	15.5	16.2	-0.73
Pau Gasol	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	14.6	15.2	-0.58	15.9	15.7	0.14
Jason Williams	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.0	14.3	0.74	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Rodney Buford	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	15.1	14.1	0.99	15.4	17.2	-1.85
Shane Battier	82	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	14.9	14.2	0.74	15.8	16.1	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAL 121, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHI 118, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%