inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 102 Excitement2.5 [1215] MVPEric Williams (BOS): +9.0%
Utah Jazz 80 Comeback1.0 [560] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -13.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.140.010.06983%0.0900.005100%0.01
Mark Blount0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.034100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.06590%0.0300.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0.020,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00580%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Mike James0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.041356%0.043-0.02683%0.01
Kedrick Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04383%0.0040.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03550%0.012-0.0220%-0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00843%-0.041-0.02560%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.041541%-0.023-0.054100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.07873%0.0300.006100%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Curtis Borchardt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08312%-0.0010.00250%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01458%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01364%-0.011-0.01560%-0.01
Ben Handlogten0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02868%0.033-0.06978%-0.01
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01560%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.04425%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.140.00-0.071533%-0.044-0.0400%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.16-0.01-0.031532%-0.093-0.04475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.81.729.814.823.22.528.2122.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.8%
BOS +4.5%
BOS +1.3%
BOS +14.9%
BOS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSUTANBABOSUTANBA
this game14.117.115.7109.787.0100.5
season14.417.299.599.4
opponent15.215.9100.8102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.912.417.413.914.1
UTA18.416.416.017.417.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike James73720.440.060.38-0.3226-43013.815.0-1.1617.714.73.02
Paul Pierce60570.410.090.31-0.151931614.213.90.2716.917.3-0.36
Raef LaFrentz35350.380.120.26-0.091661014.114.10.0918.416.22.15
Jiri Welsch72680.320.180.13-0.211841413.715.3-1.6117.017.2-0.14
Tony Battie57550.300.200.11-0.08139414.313.70.6415.918.8-2.83
Eric Williams40400.280.220.06-0.332112015.013.41.6018.116.31.79
Mark Blount36370.200.30-0.11-0.07913-413.714.3-0.6418.815.92.83
Walter McCarty34350.150.35-0.210.17-123-2413.314.5-1.2514.918.4-3.47
Kedrick Brown45470.030.47-0.440.03022-2214.413.80.6117.117.00.04
Jumaine Jones13140.000.50-0.500.32-1133-4415.113.91.1513.517.7-4.21

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Curtis Borchardt2120-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-273217.017.1-0.1514.214.10.15
Sasha Pavlovic2323-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-232417.417.00.4313.914.1-0.23
Ben Handlogten109-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-15818.916.82.0615.114.01.13
Jarron Collins2726-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-191617.217.00.1715.113.71.43
Raul Lopez4949-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-10-217.017.2-0.2313.714.5-0.83
DeShawn Stevenson6264-0.23-0.270.050.18-14-8-617.116.90.2013.814.7-0.93
Raja Bell2928-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-6-161016.017.6-1.5614.513.90.54
Mo Williams4344-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-12217.217.00.2314.513.70.83
Greg Ostertag6164-0.35-0.15-0.210.23-20-2-1816.817.6-0.7813.914.5-0.58
Matt Harpring7071-0.38-0.12-0.260.26-220-2217.515.52.0013.914.8-0.96
Andrei Kirilenko6567-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-220-2216.817.7-0.9014.114.00.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 91, MEM 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
UTA 108, NYK 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
NJN 92, DEN 660.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%