NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	2.5 [1207]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +6.7%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	1.1 [1151]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): -6.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	92%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	17	64%	0.03	3	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	57%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	0.06	15	66%	0.02	5	-0.07	11	91%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	28.6	19.8	26.2	2.7	27.3	133.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.1%

DET -1.1%

LAL +12.8%

LAL +8.9%

DET -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.6	131.5	100.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.7		106.9	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	13.3	15.5	17.6	15.2
DET	16.2	17.4	15.8	15.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	10	9	15.1	15.2	-0.11	17.2	14.9	2.34
Devean George	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	10	9	15.5	14.9	0.60	16.6	15.8	0.81
Lindsey Hunter	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	12	5	14.8	15.5	-0.67	16.5	15.8	0.64
Robert Horry	25	24	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	14	1	13.0	16.0	-3.04	16.7	15.9	0.73
Kobe Bryant	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.22	18	11	7	14.5	16.2	-1.79	16.1	16.2	-0.20
Samaki Walker	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	13	3	14.5	16.1	-1.59	16.1	16.2	-0.04
Mitch Richmond	27	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	24	-19	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Derek Fisher	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.30	15	14	1	15.0	15.4	-0.43	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Rick Fox	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	19	-9	15.0	15.3	-0.36	16.2	16.1	0.07
Slava Medvedenko	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	24	-19	16.8	14.2	2.61	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Brian Shaw	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	26	-23	17.2	14.3	2.98	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Mark Madsen	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	26	-23	17.2	14.4	2.81	14.8	16.6	-1.81

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-33	37	12.5	16.7	-4.27	16.7	14.9	1.77
Mikki Moore	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	15.1	16.5	-1.37	17.6	14.4	3.24
Damon Jones	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-26	23	15.0	16.6	-1.63	17.2	14.3	2.98
Dana Barros	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-27	25	19.5	16.1	3.44	19.0	15.1	3.91
Jon Barry	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-25	21	15.6	16.4	-0.76	15.2	15.1	0.11
Zeljko Rebraca	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-20	11	16.3	16.0	0.29	15.4	15.0	0.36
Corliss Williamson	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-17	5	15.5	16.6	-1.16	13.4	16.5	-3.05
Michael Curry	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.36	-21	-8	-13	18.0	14.7	3.29	16.4	14.2	2.19
Ben Wallace	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.20	-17	-12	-5	15.7	16.8	-1.18	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Jerry Stackhouse	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.42	-25	-4	-21	16.4	15.6	0.76	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Chucky Atkins	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-5	-19	16.5	15.3	1.23	14.1	17.4	-3.25
Clifford Robinson	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.50	-33	4	-37	16.8	14.5	2.27	14.7	16.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHX 99, DET 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%