NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	7.3 [398]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +24.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Comeback	18.1 [192]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13	-0.10	0.20	-0.02	9	41%	0.20	4	-0.07	9	78%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	13	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.12,-0.09,-0.09	0.07	-0.15	0.00	22	63%	0.22	5	-0.31	5	80%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.24	-0.02	13	62%	0.40	6	-0.15	8	62%	-0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	87%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.08	0.08	-0.07	0.14	0.00	19	35%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.13	0.04	25	58%	0.08	7	-0.25	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.2	14.6	27.4	2.3	29.7	129.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +15.8%

OKC +2.1%

OKC +25.4%

OKC +6.5%

OKC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.0	14.7	97.9	103.1	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		106.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	13.6	14.8	19.8	15.9
OKC	13.0	12.1	15.9	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	45	41	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-9	12	15.9	15.8	0.11	14.3	13.7	0.58
Ekpe Udoh	7	7	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-7	8	15.3	15.9	-0.64	14.0	14.0	0.02
Derrick Favors	43	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-7	8	17.0	15.0	2.04	14.2	13.7	0.49
Royce O'Neale	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	4	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.16	12.9	14.6	-1.73
Alec Burks	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.5	-1.26	12.8	15.1	-2.32
Ricky Rubio	66	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	0	-6	16.2	15.2	0.93	14.7	12.2	2.58
Donovan Mitchell	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-8	10	15.9	15.8	0.06	14.2	13.3	0.86
Rudy Gobert	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	15.1	17.0	-1.93	14.0	14.0	0.05
Joe Ingles	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.4	0.68	14.4	13.0	1.35
Thabo Sefolosha	41	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	8	-22	15.8	15.9	-0.08	13.4	14.5	-1.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	67	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-8	22	14.4	13.0	1.42	16.3	15.0	1.32
Paul George	81	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-1	8	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Steven Adams	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-3	12	13.2	15.9	-2.64	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Russell Westbrook	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	13.8	14.6	-0.75	15.8	16.3	-0.56
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	6	-6	14.0	14.0	0.02	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Patrick Patterson	27	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	5	-4	14.9	13.6	1.26	16.1	15.8	0.28
Raymond Felton	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	14.9	13.7	1.22	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Alex Abrines	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	6	-6	12.7	14.8	-2.15	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Jerami Grant	34	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	11	-16	14.9	13.5	1.35	17.0	15.2	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, OKC 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.36,0.43,0.91,1	92.4%
ORL 98, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	90.8%
ORL 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.32,0.84,1	90.4%