inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement9.3 [110] MVPEvan Fournier (DEN): +11.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 115 Comeback14.0 [222] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -16.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.00767%0.1100.00450%-0.03
Ty Lawson0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.060.14-0.040.031763%0.091-0.031283%0.03
Nate Robinson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00571%0.081-0.03475%0.01
Jordan Hamilton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.01646%0.0200.001100%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00458%0.031-0.02425%-0.03
Darrell Arthur-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00560%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Andre Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Randy Foye-0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.070.01858%-0.041-0.02333%-0.06
JJ Hickson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.011450%0.073-0.14850%-0.07
Kenneth Faried-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15-0.04-0.110.00450%-0.052-0.10250%-0.06
Wilson Chandler-0.160,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.06-0.10-0.001230%-0.1600.00333%-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.00580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.030.030.010.01-0.011154%0.082-0.044100%0.04
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.030.030.030.020.01362%0.0300.002100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.020.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Adams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.2,-0.21,0.03,-0.01-0.010.07-0.010.072754%0.083-0.091681%0.04
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.01425%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.14,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.002550%0.065-0.171070%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.91.029.115.730.22.353.8157.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +5.2%
OKC +15.0%
OKC +23.9%
OKC +11.2%
DEN -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game14.113.915.1109.7111.7105.2
season14.014.4104.5107.8
opponent15.414.9102.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.913.013.315.114.1
OKC13.914.214.912.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur35330.17-0.670.840.054-61013.414.4-1.0113.614.0-0.47
Andre Miller25230.07-0.570.640.012-4615.613.62.0812.614.3-1.65
Timofey Mozgov3533-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-4614.613.80.8512.214.7-2.56
Evan Fournier3836-0.08-0.420.330.09-64-1015.413.32.1012.414.7-2.23
Jordan Hamilton3737-0.13-0.370.240.13-97-1612.714.8-2.0913.813.9-0.13
Nate Robinson2018-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-31-415.813.72.1511.314.4-3.10
Randy Foye6062-0.20-0.300.11-0.5211-132413.015.5-2.4415.112.03.06
Kenneth Faried5254-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.350-2214.513.60.8314.513.21.24
Ty Lawson7880-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-42-613.615.6-2.0814.312.61.65
JJ Hickson6871-0.590.09-0.67-0.47-42-613.814.6-0.8514.512.51.98
Wilson Chandler6768-0.630.13-0.76-0.54-31-414.513.31.1714.213.40.79

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher41400.84-0.341.190.4613-112413.014.5-1.4014.913.51.40
Reggie Jackson53550.73-0.230.970.508-61412.515.4-2.9714.213.90.36
Russell Westbrook81800.62-0.120.740.485-3814.113.10.9614.014.3-0.25
Serge Ibaka67640.59-0.090.690.484-2614.313.11.2014.213.90.27
Kevin Durant91900.57-0.070.650.435-3814.013.20.7314.411.82.54
Perry Jones890.020.48-0.45-0.042029.614.3-4.6315.014.01.02
Jeremy Lamb4445-0.070.57-0.63-0.0702-213.214.4-1.2813.214.7-1.46
Steven Adams1314-0.080.58-0.650.04-46-1013.414.0-0.5812.214.4-2.15
Nick Collison4144-0.110.61-0.73-0.06-24-613.214.4-1.2014.114.10.00
Thabo Sefolosha4645-0.300.80-1.10-0.01-1012-2215.712.43.2613.714.4-0.67
Kendrick Perkins3029-0.330.83-1.17-0.01-1113-2416.512.83.6814.014.1-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.36,0.43,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 98, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.85,192.4%
UTA 94, OKC 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.92,192.4%
CHI 84, CLE 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.49,0.32,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.57,0.82,192.0%