NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	3.1 [1192]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +11.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	66%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	17	72%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
John Henson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	76%	0.09	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	20	42%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Bolomboy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	17	60%	0.10	6	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	20	37%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	0.06	16	51%	-0.03	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.6	22.3	14.4	28.5	2.5	29.2	124.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +38.3%

POR -2.4%

POR -6.2%

MIL +17.3%

MIL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.7	105.1	92.9	107.5
season	14.3	15.2		108.5	107.8
opponent	14.3	15.4		105.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	14.7	15.0	18.3	15.2
POR	14.6	14.7	15.7	11.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-9	30	14.7	17.2	-2.49	15.1	11.3	3.79
John Henson	60	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-7	26	15.4	14.9	0.51	14.4	13.7	0.68
Tony Snell	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	-9	30	14.2	16.7	-2.43	15.4	12.4	2.95
Eric Bledsoe	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	-9	30	14.4	16.5	-2.10	14.7	13.3	1.45
Khris Middleton	69	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-3	18	15.5	14.6	0.97	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Malcolm Brogdon	46	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	13	-14	16.0	14.6	1.40	13.6	14.6	-0.98
DeAndre Liggins	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.47	-12	24	-36	16.8	14.0	2.80	12.6	15.3	-2.72
Jason Terry	36	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	17	-22	16.5	14.5	2.04	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Thon Maker	36	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	15	-18	15.1	15.3	-0.24	14.1	14.2	-0.01
Rashad Vaughn	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.0	15.3	-3.30	6.5	14.3	-7.81
Joel Bolomboy	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.0	15.3	-3.30	6.5	14.3	-7.81
Gary Payton II	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.0	15.3	-3.30	6.5	14.3	-7.81
D.J. Wilson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.0	15.3	-3.30	6.5	14.3	-7.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	6.5	14.3	-7.81	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Zach Collins	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	6.5	14.3	-7.81	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Meyers Leonard	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-13	14	15.9	13.8	2.06	14.6	15.4	-0.73
Shabazz Napier	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-16	20	15.3	13.6	1.70	15.5	15.1	0.43
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-11	10	14.2	14.1	0.06	16.2	14.4	1.78
Ed Davis	15	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-7	2	14.2	14.1	0.06	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Maurice Harkless	12	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	13.1	14.3	-1.22	12.8	15.6	-2.86
Evan Turner	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-13	14	13.7	14.7	-1.04	16.2	14.0	2.24
Pat Connaughton	35	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	2	-16	13.9	14.3	-0.46	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Jusuf Nurkic	67	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	13.7	15.1	-1.33	15.5	14.8	0.72
Noah Vonleh	49	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	1	-14	14.6	13.7	0.92	14.0	16.4	-2.37
Damian Lillard	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.7	11.5	3.17	15.2	15.5	-0.32
CJ McCollum	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	3	-18	13.9	15.9	-2.07	15.8	12.5	3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 125, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DAL 119, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 106, UTA 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%