NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	119		Excitement	3.0 [1159]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.0 [677]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): -5.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.24	0.01	0.08	20	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.00	-0.08	13	58%	0.10	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	0.01	0.13	12	73%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	25%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	18	57%	0.00	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	6	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	3.4	30.4	17.4	28.4	2.7	28.0	138.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +41.7%

MIN -4.1%

DAL +6.1%

DAL +3.7%

DAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.5	128.0	102.2	101.6
season	15.1	14.9		108.6	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		102.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	13.7	15.8	17.7	15.6
MIN	15.4	18.2	13.6	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	-3	30	14.3	18.3	-4.02	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.56	34	-10	44	14.8	17.8	-2.99	15.9	13.9	1.99
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.46	27	-3	30	14.3	17.0	-2.68	16.9	13.6	3.30
Nick Van Exel	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.34	22	2	20	15.1	16.4	-1.27	16.1	14.2	1.98
Raef LaFrentz	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	16	-8	16.6	14.3	2.26	15.5	15.1	0.37
Eduardo Najera	42	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	14	-4	16.0	15.3	0.79	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Shawn Bradley	47	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	11	2	14.8	16.4	-1.63	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Adrian Griffin	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	22	-20	16.9	14.7	2.17	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Raja Bell	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	29	-34	17.7	14.9	2.71	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Avery Johnson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	33	-42	19.5	15.0	4.47	13.0	15.7	-2.70

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Igor Rakocevic	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-31	38	14.2	15.5	-1.29	18.9	15.2	3.68
Gary Trent	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-33	42	13.0	15.7	-2.70	19.5	15.0	4.47
Mike Wilks	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-20	16	15.7	15.2	0.49	18.0	14.9	3.13
Kendall Gill	42	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-20	16	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.3	15.0	1.38
Marc Jackson	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-22	20	15.6	15.2	0.41	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Joe Smith	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.26	-14	-10	-4	16.9	14.4	2.41	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Rasho Nesterovic	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-13	2	14.2	16.1	-1.85	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Kevin Garnett	71	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.46	-30	6	-36	15.2	15.7	-0.49	15.8	15.2	0.60
Troy Hudson	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	-4	-16	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.9	18.0	-3.13
Wally Szczerbiak	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	2	-28	15.6	14.6	1.04	14.7	18.2	-3.48
Anthony Peeler	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	1	-26	15.6	14.5	1.11	15.0	17.6	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, LAL 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	97.0%
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%