NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	125		Excitement	3.8 [1048]		MVP	Elliot Williams (PHI): +11.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.2 [979]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -15.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	10	48%	0.08	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	110%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	70%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
James Nunnally	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	5	69%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	68%	0.11	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	19	64%	0.17	6	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.17	0.01	-0.12	13	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	0.09	9	61%	-0.02	3	-0.05	10	80%	-0.01
James Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	6	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	10	27%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	32.5	15.6	33.3	2.4	29.4	141.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.4%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +0.5%

ATL +15.1%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.9	13.1	15.1	111.6	90.0	105.2
season	14.8	13.7		103.8	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	12.2	10.6	17.0	12.9
PHI	11.7	13.1	13.5	14.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.31	28	-2	30	11.6	14.8	-3.14	12.3	14.4	-2.12
Kyle Korver	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	4	18	12.3	13.7	-1.45	12.2	14.5	-2.33
Paul Millsap	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-1	28	11.6	14.8	-3.25	12.3	14.4	-2.14
Jeff Teague	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	11	4	12.1	13.8	-1.72	11.5	15.0	-3.53
Gustavo Ayon	57	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	16	-6	12.3	13.4	-1.08	12.1	14.1	-1.95
Elton Brand	50	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.24	15	11	4	13.4	12.5	0.89	14.7	11.8	2.89
Louis Williams	43	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	18	-10	13.8	12.3	1.58	15.5	11.6	3.91
Mike Scott	51	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	26	-26	14.2	11.8	2.41	13.7	12.6	1.14
Shelvin Mack	27	27	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	20	-14	11.4	13.3	-1.87	15.0	12.5	2.54
James Nunnally	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	17.0	11.8	5.20	14.3	12.8	1.55
Jared Cunningham	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	14.5	12.7	1.86	12.5	13.1	-0.60
Dennis Schroder	34	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	30	-34	15.2	11.8	3.36	14.2	12.6	1.63

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	50	52	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-24	22	14.3	12.1	2.23	14.3	11.6	2.69
Dewayne Dedmon	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-22	18	14.7	12.4	2.31	13.5	12.6	0.87
Tony Wroten	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	-15	4	15.4	11.9	3.53	13.5	12.5	0.95
Elliot Williams	50	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.22	-11	-15	4	14.7	11.7	3.00	13.2	12.6	0.58
Lavoy Allen	50	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-18	10	12.8	13.3	-0.59	13.3	12.5	0.85
Spencer Hawes	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.24	-18	-8	-10	13.0	13.1	-0.13	11.6	13.7	-2.14
Michael Carter-Williams	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-10	-6	12.2	15.2	-3.01	13.0	12.5	0.48
Thaddeus Young	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	-6	-14	12.4	14.6	-2.23	12.2	14.3	-2.16
Evan Turner	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	-7	-12	11.6	15.2	-3.61	12.3	13.6	-1.33
James Anderson	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	-5	-16	12.4	14.2	-1.77	12.5	13.5	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIL 103, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%