inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 106 Excitement3.0 [1162] MVPSteve Francis (HOU): +14.0%
Utah Jazz 76 Comeback1.0 [478] LVPMatt Harpring (UTA): -10.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.020.011971%0.182-0.041385%0.01
Eddie Griffin0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02771%0.051-0.0100%0.00
James Posey0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.031065%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Juaquin Hawkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03329%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jason Collier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02150%-0.001-0.002100%0.01
Yao Ming-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.031160%0.012-0.023100%0.01
Maurice Taylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05872%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Moochie Norris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.08337%-0.004-0.03250%-0.01
Cuttino Mobley-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.01-0.041036%-0.002-0.032100%0.00
Terence Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.0310.0000%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Stockton0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02591%0.093-0.031100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01580%0.063-0.0500%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05425%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01567%0.023-0.042100%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02762%0.033-0.051090%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.04430%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03525%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02325%-0.021-0.0220%-0.02
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.011243%-0.0500.00683%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0330%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.00-0.031531%-0.092-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.828.115.725.41.826.2123.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +24.4%
HOU +7.0%
HOU +10.6%
HOU +7.4%
HOU +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUUTANBAHOUUTANBA
this game15.615.515.5114.082.6101.6
season16.316.3101.7103.1
opponent15.315.4101.1100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.516.516.115.415.6
UTA16.116.215.214.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cuttino Mobley76760.54-0.040.58-0.252732415.615.7-0.1015.615.20.39
James Posey71710.430.070.37-0.422912815.416.3-0.8515.216.4-1.19
Steve Francis74710.400.100.30-0.392732415.516.2-0.7415.715.00.72
Eddie Griffin41410.390.110.29-0.1920101015.915.40.4517.513.93.61
Yao Ming65610.380.120.27-0.5532-23415.715.40.3817.112.34.81
Maurice Taylor46450.110.39-0.29-0.16921-1215.715.50.2313.717.3-3.61
Kelvin Cato22240.100.40-0.300.19-333-3616.015.50.4911.716.9-5.14
Terence Morris22220.080.42-0.330.05129-2816.315.40.8516.015.40.64
Moochie Norris27280.060.44-0.390.03129-2816.515.31.2114.715.9-1.20
Juaquin Hawkins990.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.415.7-1.3116.215.40.79
Bostjan Nachbar660.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2813.015.8-2.8015.715.50.17
Jason Collier660.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2813.015.8-2.8015.715.50.17

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo1717-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-211216.015.40.6013.216.2-2.92
Tony Massenburg3838-0.06-0.440.380.15-7-231613.916.7-2.8015.915.40.50
Scott Padgett3938-0.09-0.410.320.17-9-211214.416.3-1.9615.215.9-0.70
Mark Jackson3636-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-272413.017.1-4.0816.115.30.84
DeShawn Stevenson2423-0.10-0.400.290.10-7-231617.614.82.8615.615.6-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko6363-0.17-0.330.160.27-15-15014.318.1-3.7415.316.4-1.10
John Amaechi1414-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-241818.015.12.9416.215.50.70
Greg Ostertag3942-0.22-0.280.060.25-16-14-216.414.81.6115.215.9-0.70
Calbert Cheaney4142-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-12-18614.516.4-1.8916.315.11.25
John Stockton3940-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-18-12-617.614.03.6116.215.20.97
Karl Malone5354-0.43-0.07-0.360.21-22-8-1416.314.41.9615.915.30.54
Matt Harpring5758-0.45-0.05-0.400.31-26-4-2216.513.92.6715.515.8-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 96, DEN 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
NJN 87, SAC 730.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
DAL 119, MIN 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%