NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	6.8 [490]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +19.4%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.6 [854]		LVP	Markieff Morris (WAS): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.04	-0.03	23	59%	0.14	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	13	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
Markieff Morris	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	10	15%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.08	0.01	26	62%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	12	48%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	29.0	15.5	24.8	0.3	29.8	125.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.6%

TOR +0.3%

WAS -3.9%

TOR +11.1%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	14.7	100.0	109.9	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	14.6	16.5	17.8	16.0
TOR	15.6	16.0	15.5	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-7	5	16.5	15.3	1.23	16.0	15.3	0.69
Tomas Satoransky	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.2	-0.73	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Ian Mahinmi	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.73	14.4	16.2	-1.71
Bradley Beal	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	16.5	14.4	2.05	16.2	14.3	1.90
Otto Porter Jr.	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	16.6	14.7	1.94	16.5	13.9	2.61
Kelly Oubre Jr.	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	14.7	16.7	-1.97	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Marcin Gortat	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-6	3	16.2	15.4	0.73	16.2	14.4	1.71
Tim Frazier	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	16.2	15.4	0.73	16.4	13.8	2.65
Mike Scott	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	14.9	16.6	-1.68	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Jodie Meeks	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	15.1	16.3	-1.27	14.6	16.2	-1.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	60	60	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-9	27	14.6	17.7	-3.03	16.7	14.6	2.10
CJ Miles	41	41	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-4	17	13.9	17.1	-3.24	16.4	15.6	0.81
Fred VanVleet	46	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	2	5	15.4	15.9	-0.50	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Jakob Poeltl	20	21	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	3	3	15.9	15.6	0.28	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Kyle Lowry	61	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	6	-3	15.8	15.5	0.32	16.5	14.7	1.81
Lorenzo Brown	16	17	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	3	3	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.5	16.1	-0.54
DeMar DeRozan	67	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	5	-1	15.9	15.0	0.98	16.1	15.7	0.38
Lucas Nogueira	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	13.1	16.8	-3.71	16.6	15.7	0.89
Serge Ibaka	48	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	16.8	14.4	2.44	16.1	15.8	0.33
Jonas Valanciunas	31	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	14	-19	17.7	14.6	3.03	14.7	16.6	-1.96
OG Anunoby	38	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	16	-23	17.8	14.1	3.71	14.5	17.0	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	93.5%
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.9%