NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	2.8 [1225]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +23.4%
Denver Nuggets	146		Comeback	1.1 [1033]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): -3.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	63%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	11	73%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	81%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	16	40%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.00	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.26	0.02	0.04	18	82%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.01	0.03	11	100%	0.18	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	65%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	81%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.06	8	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.14	0.00	0.17	11	79%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	29.9	14.7	29.5	2.8	23.3	126.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.9%

DEN +3.6%

DEN +11.4%

NOP -0.9%

DEN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DEN	NBA	NOP	DEN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	14.7	115.2	144.6	107.5
season	13.6	14.7		108.0	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.8	11.2	16.2	13.7	14.2
DEN	14.2	15.9	13.8	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	57	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-35	38	13.4	15.2	-1.85	14.7	14.5	0.21
Jalen Jones	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-25	18	11.7	14.5	-2.73	15.0	14.6	0.40
Ian Clark	31	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.23	-8	-24	16	13.0	14.7	-1.63	14.8	14.6	0.16
Cheick Diallo	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.12	-5	-27	22	11.8	15.0	-3.21	14.9	14.5	0.34
Jameer Nelson	59	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-23	14	13.5	15.0	-1.51	14.7	14.5	0.19
Darius Miller	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-27	22	14.2	14.0	0.21	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Anthony Davis	43	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-21	10	13.7	14.5	-0.88	15.5	14.0	1.49
Rajon Rondo	51	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.46	-30	-2	-28	14.3	14.0	0.38	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	-9	-14	15.3	12.8	2.48	14.2	15.1	-0.87
Jrue Holiday	54	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.40	-31	-1	-30	15.1	13.0	2.15	14.3	15.1	-0.82
DeMarcus Cousins	49	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.41	-34	2	-36	16.2	12.2	3.98	14.4	14.9	-0.59

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	63	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.60	41	-9	50	13.5	16.5	-2.98	15.6	11.8	3.82
Jamal Murray	69	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	2	28	14.0	15.9	-1.89	15.8	10.7	5.16
Paul Millsap	57	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.43	33	-1	34	14.2	15.2	-0.91	15.1	13.0	2.07
Wilson Chandler	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.33	29	3	26	14.5	15.0	-0.43	14.5	13.2	1.30
Nikola Jokic	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	9	14	14.7	14.5	0.22	15.4	12.8	2.64
Trey Lyles	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	25	-18	15.9	14.5	1.37	10.0	14.6	-4.57
Malik Beasley	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	25	-18	15.0	14.6	0.40	11.7	14.5	-2.73
Juan Hernangomez	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	25	-18	15.9	14.5	1.37	10.0	14.6	-4.57
Mason Plumlee	38	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	29	-26	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Kenneth Faried	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	39	-46	16.9	14.2	2.65	10.5	14.8	-4.26
Will Barton	53	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	39	-46	14.8	14.5	0.27	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Emmanuel Mudiay	50	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	38	-44	15.7	13.6	2.09	12.2	16.2	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, GSW 131	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NYK 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHX 115, CHA 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%