NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	3.1 [1174]		MVP	Al Harrington (GSW): +21.2%
Golden State Warriors	131		Comeback	1.0 [978]		LVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): -10.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	66%	0.11	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	15	55%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	13	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	55%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	5	21%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	6	21%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	5	9%	-0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.27	0.01	0.06	11	97%	0.22	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	8	85%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	77%	0.11	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	15	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	32.8	15.8	32.0	1.6	29.4	140.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.2%

GSW +4.1%

CHA -8.3%

GSW +17.9%

CHA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	11.3	15.4	99.1	124.8	104.5
season	15.7	13.5		101.7	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	15.4	16.3	15.2	15.9
GSW	10.9	14.0	9.7	11.0	11.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-27	28	14.2	17.0	-2.81	10.4	11.9	-1.43
Othella Harrington	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-22	18	14.5	16.1	-1.66	10.9	11.4	-0.47
Ryan Hollins	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-27	28	15.0	16.2	-1.20	11.3	11.3	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	70	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-31	36	15.4	16.9	-1.52	11.7	10.7	0.97
Walter Herrmann	47	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-23	20	14.5	17.1	-2.65	11.0	11.6	-0.52
Jake Voskuhl	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-17	8	14.6	16.4	-1.76	11.0	11.4	-0.39
Adam Morrison	75	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-20	14	14.9	18.4	-3.41	10.6	13.1	-2.46
Derek Anderson	26	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-8	-10	19.2	14.9	4.25	12.9	10.8	2.11
Emeka Okafor	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-6	-14	16.8	14.8	2.00	11.7	10.9	0.83
Matt Carroll	40	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	-1	-24	18.1	14.6	3.54	12.2	10.8	1.48
Gerald Wallace	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.22	-23	-3	-20	17.1	14.5	2.65	11.6	11.0	0.52
Raymond Felton	50	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.38	-29	3	-32	16.6	15.4	1.20	10.9	11.7	-0.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-3	32	11.5	10.9	0.56	16.4	14.9	1.52
Stephen Jackson	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.24	26	0	26	11.2	11.5	-0.35	17.8	13.9	3.87
Al Harrington	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-1	28	10.8	12.2	-1.48	16.1	15.7	0.42
Baron Davis	52	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-2	30	10.5	12.2	-1.65	16.8	15.0	1.81
Andris Biedrins	34	35	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	4	18	10.8	11.6	-0.80	18.2	14.8	3.33
Josh Powell	63	64	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	26	-26	12.0	10.4	1.59	14.8	17.7	-2.97
Sarunas Jasikevicius	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	25	-24	10.7	11.6	-0.84	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Mickael Pietrus	48	49	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	23	-20	12.6	10.3	2.30	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Kelenna Azubuike	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	26	-26	10.7	11.6	-0.93	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Adonal Foyle	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	10.4	11.6	-1.15	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Matt Barnes	50	51	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	30	-34	12.4	10.4	2.00	14.8	17.0	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, BOS 130	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIL 89, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NOP 114, DEN 146	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%