inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 89 Excitement2.7 [1241] MVPCharlie Bell (MIL): +14.6%
Miami Heat 115 Comeback1.0 [1317] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -11.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.21-0.000.061874%0.151-0.00333%-0.00
Dan Gadzuric0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Bobby Simmons0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jiri Welsch0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02075%0.0000.00475%0.00
Toni Kukoc-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01959%0.053-0.05475%-0.01
Michael Redd-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.010.021447%0.011-0.026100%0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
T.J. Ford-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00467%0.024-0.054100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.0348%-0.051-0.02425%-0.03
Mo Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.01-0.04714%-0.053-0.0600%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.010.031369%0.142-0.00967%-0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.03-0.02957%0.1010.00580%-0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.017100%0.083-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00965%0.082-0.02862%0.01
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05970%0.0310.002100%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01362%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02450%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.021052%0.005-0.05729%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.530.716.029.21.730.2137.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +24.1%
MIA +7.2%
MIA +5.1%
MIA +12.1%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game14.316.215.693.7122.3104.4
season15.515.5104.6106.1
opponent15.515.5102.3106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.812.415.512.414.3
MIA15.917.612.618.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jiri Welsch1817-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-252411.614.9-3.2818.815.63.12
Joe Smith2525-0.01-0.490.480.16-6-201412.315.0-2.7117.915.62.27
Dan Gadzuric2219-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-252412.314.9-2.6017.615.91.78
Ervin Johnson911-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-181013.714.3-0.6718.415.92.44
Bobby Simmons3435-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-191214.714.00.6316.116.3-0.25
Mo Williams5958-0.16-0.340.180.10-9-17813.615.4-1.8416.515.80.70
Toni Kukoc5252-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-211614.114.5-0.3914.718.0-3.27
Andrew Bogut3432-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-191214.913.91.0415.516.6-1.13
Charlie Bell7573-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-211614.712.71.9316.415.70.70
T.J. Ford3737-0.41-0.09-0.320.29-24-2-2214.014.5-0.4916.715.90.76
Jamaal Magloire4446-0.46-0.04-0.420.33-271-2816.012.83.2215.916.5-0.63
Michael Redd6665-0.570.07-0.640.31-304-3415.312.03.2715.318.3-2.98

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker59580.66-0.160.82-0.2531-53615.018.3-3.3515.512.33.24
Dwyane Wade65670.56-0.060.62-0.172512414.919.1-4.1314.912.82.06
Shaquille O'Neal60590.50-0.000.51-0.3830-43416.715.31.3915.412.52.86
Gary Payton61590.400.100.30-0.282332016.415.90.4714.713.51.25
Udonis Haslem55550.330.170.17-0.17179816.316.10.2314.314.20.08
Derek Anderson62640.100.40-0.290.04224-2216.515.70.7513.715.4-1.60
Shandon Anderson49500.040.46-0.420.01125-2417.315.02.2413.714.9-1.21
Wayne Simien13130.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1817.915.91.9811.114.8-3.70
Jason Kapono890.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2018.516.02.5011.414.6-3.13
Earl Barron660.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2219.816.03.879.814.6-4.74
Dorell Wright660.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2219.816.03.879.814.6-4.74
Michael Doleac2629-0.100.60-0.700.19-1036-4614.616.8-2.2113.414.7-1.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 110, BOS 1300.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIN 100, DAL 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
POR 106, GSW 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%