NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	8.3 [230]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +31.3%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	13.4 [91]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -25.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	8	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.06
Patrick Patterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dakari Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01	-0.03	-0.05	-0.06	16	45%	0.09	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.12
Josh Huestis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08	0.07	-0.13	0.02	17	57%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Russell Westbrook	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	22	31%	-0.17	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.20	0.01	14	65%	0.33	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.02
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	4	112%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	7	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	3	100%	0.24	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.08
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.12	0.01	15	57%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.8	28.5	14.5	25.2	0.3	40.7	140.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.4%

SAS +12.2%

OKC -1.9%

OKC -3.7%

OKC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	14.7	109.8	114.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.5		109.4	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.3		104.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.6	16.4	16.8	16.5	16.1
SAS	16.0	13.6	15.9	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dakari Johnson	6	5	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-10	17	15.3	16.1	-0.79	13.4	15.5	-2.11
Josh Huestis	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	17.7	15.9	1.82	13.4	15.7	-2.31
Raymond Felton	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	16.5	15.9	0.64	14.0	16.0	-1.93
Jerami Grant	30	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-6	9	16.1	16.1	0.04	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Patrick Patterson	28	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	2	-7	16.7	15.8	0.87	13.7	16.1	-2.44
Russell Westbrook	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-3	3	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.1	12.9	3.24
Alex Abrines	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-3	3	16.1	16.1	0.01	13.1	16.9	-3.81
Andre Roberson	44	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	1	-5	15.8	16.3	-0.45	17.4	13.5	3.88
Carmelo Anthony	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	0	-3	15.9	16.4	-0.46	16.3	13.5	2.88
Paul George	82	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	15.9	17.7	-1.82	15.7	13.4	2.31
Steven Adams	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	5	-13	16.1	16.0	0.11	15.8	14.3	1.58

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	55	54	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-18	39	16.2	14.2	1.94	16.9	14.9	1.92
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	15.8	14.4	1.43	16.2	15.8	0.33
Danny Green	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-8	19	16.2	13.5	2.72	16.1	16.0	0.16
Davis Bertans	20	22	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-8	19	12.4	16.2	-3.78	18.5	15.3	3.13
Patty Mills	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-2	7	16.4	13.1	3.25	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Kyle Anderson	57	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-4	11	16.5	13.5	3.07	16.2	15.8	0.45
Dejounte Murray	22	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	2	-1	13.6	16.0	-2.32	16.8	15.8	0.94
Manu Ginobili	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.47	-10	13	-23	13.9	16.4	-2.58	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Brandon Paul	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	11.3	15.7	-4.35	12.8	16.3	-3.46
Bryn Forbes	19	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	15	-27	15.3	15.4	-0.17	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Rudy Gay	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.30	-13	16	-29	14.2	16.1	-1.90	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Joffrey Lauvergne	11	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	13.0	15.7	-2.73	12.9	16.5	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	91.0%
LAC 91, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.83,0.84,1	90.8%
DET 82, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,1	90.7%