NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	7.2 [355]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	5.9 [386]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -24.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rick Mahorn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	9	41%	-0.12	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.08
Grant Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.16,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	19	44%	-0.04	4	-0.15	10	90%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24	-0.06	-0.17	0.01	10	46%	-0.18	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	13	72%	0.30	5	-0.19	14	79%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	3	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	6	31%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	27.3	15.5	25.5	2.5	42.2	143.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.1%

POR +14.6%

DET -2.0%

DET -0.6%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	18.4	15.3	15.6	95.3	101.2	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		102.8	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	18.5	22.3	15.7	18.4
POR	16.0	14.9	14.4	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	3.0	18.6	-15.58	11.5	15.4	-3.86
Aaron McKie	41	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-5	6	18.1	18.6	-0.52	15.6	15.0	0.65
Bison Dele	58	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-12	20	17.4	20.4	-2.91	15.3	15.3	0.02
Rick Mahorn	3	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	19.7	18.3	1.32	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Grant Long	32	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-4	4	19.3	17.9	1.41	15.8	15.0	0.87
Scot Pollard	26	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	4	-12	21.1	17.2	3.90	15.3	15.2	0.09
Theo Ratliff	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	5	-14	18.8	16.5	2.26	15.6	13.5	2.11
Lindsey Hunter	64	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-6	8	18.6	17.7	0.90	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Malik Sealy	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	17.9	19.9	-1.96	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Grant Hill	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	2	-8	17.9	20.3	-2.38	15.0	16.4	-1.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	72	72	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-10	24	15.0	16.8	-1.77	18.3	18.6	-0.30
Brian Grant	47	48	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-2	8	15.7	14.7	1.01	19.3	17.3	1.98
Stacey Augmon	43	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	3	-2	15.3	15.3	-0.03	16.7	20.0	-3.29
Rasheed Wallace	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	1	2	14.7	16.5	-1.72	18.0	19.3	-1.36
Kelvin Cato	37	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-5	14	16.1	14.6	1.53	20.4	17.0	3.38
Isaiah Rider	74	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	6	-8	14.6	19.5	-4.91	18.2	19.6	-1.42
Jermaine O'Neal	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	5	-6	16.8	14.7	2.12	19.3	18.0	1.30
Arvydas Sabonis	49	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.16	18.3	18.5	-0.14
Vincent Askew	7	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.23	16.0	18.7	-2.71
John Crotty	13	14	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	14	-24	16.8	15.0	1.77	18.6	18.3	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,1	93.0%
PHI 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	92.5%
MIL 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	92.3%