inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 92 Excitement6.1 [561] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +31.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 100 Comeback6.0 [494] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -17.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.110.060.01592%0.1600.002100%0.02
Kurt Thomas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.01773%0.163-0.091100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.060.010.03962%0.061-0.023100%0.01
Tony Parker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.030.042252%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.00945%-0.053-0.072100%0.02
Tim Duncan-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.10-0.021940%-0.082-0.091050%-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.320.320.150.220.053060%0.362-0.055100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00667%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.050.030.030.01564%0.0410.01475%-0.01
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.00450%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.01850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001057%0.082-0.043100%0.02
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.001537%-0.053-0.092100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.531.820.026.23.739.1147.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +24.6%
SAS -4.6%
LAL +9.6%
LAL +21.2%
SAS -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.115.515.4101.1109.9105.7
season16.514.6104.7110.6
opponent15.215.3104.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.616.819.213.016.1
LAL16.313.813.518.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fabricio Oberto34330.09-0.590.67-0.034-121616.615.80.8415.415.6-0.21
Michael Finley4750-0.01-0.490.49-0.031-91016.016.2-0.1614.417.0-2.59
Manu Ginobili5760-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.362-101215.217.7-2.4816.114.51.63
Kurt Thomas3737-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-2-418.014.83.2115.415.6-0.21
Brent Barry4947-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-2-415.217.2-2.0315.915.10.80
Tim Duncan8584-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.26-5-3-216.017.7-1.6515.713.02.74
Bruce Bowen7169-0.570.07-0.64-0.13-157-2216.614.32.3316.113.82.25
Tony Parker7575-0.640.14-0.79-0.20-157-2215.916.9-0.9915.018.0-3.00

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol81800.51-0.010.510.3362415.615.30.2615.917.4-1.41
Kobe Bryant81800.51-0.010.510.3362415.615.30.2615.917.4-1.41
Sasha Vujacic43450.450.050.400.199-11016.814.42.4814.717.5-2.79
Vladimir Radmanovic60590.440.060.380.1510-21214.617.4-2.8215.916.4-0.49
Derek Fisher62630.330.170.160.079-11014.617.4-2.7715.417.8-2.40
Luke Walton26250.240.26-0.020.0662415.615.50.0717.215.71.54
Jordan Farmar29280.170.33-0.160.20-19-1017.414.62.7717.815.42.40
Ronny Turiaf1011-0.010.51-0.51-0.0726-415.315.6-0.2617.415.91.41
Lamar Odom6364-0.140.64-0.770.07-715-2215.515.6-0.1217.013.93.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 1070.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,192.2%
GSW 115, SEA 1170.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,191.6%
CHI 93, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.98,191.5%