NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	6.0 [575]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	16.7 [29]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -15.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.03	37	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	7	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	21	67%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.03
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.4	2.8	29.9	15.8	26.0	1.8	32.2	158.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +52.3%

UTA +10.8%

CHI -8.6%

CHI -1.6%

CHI -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.6	105.7	114.8	102.5
season	16.2	15.9		105.8	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		102.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.9	15.6	23.1	16.5	16.8
UTA	17.4	12.1	19.2	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	40	41	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.03	3	-11	14	14.6	18.7	-4.15	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Jason Caffey	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-3	-2	16.1	17.1	-1.00	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Scottie Pippen	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	16.7	17.0	-0.27	16.5	15.2	1.33
Scott Burrell	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	0	-8	17.5	16.2	1.27	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Ron Harper	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	17.2	16.1	1.15	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Jud Buechler	26	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-6	4	16.3	17.1	-0.76	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Luc Longley	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.53	6	-14	20	17.3	16.0	1.32	18.5	11.4	7.09
Michael Jordan	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-13	5	-18	16.9	16.3	0.57	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Dennis Rodman	72	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	11	-30	17.5	14.1	3.40	15.1	19.1	-4.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	68	69	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-11	30	15.2	18.3	-3.19	17.0	16.4	0.54
Karl Malone	78	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	1	6	15.9	15.6	0.32	17.4	13.1	4.29
Bryon Russell	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	0	8	15.2	17.5	-2.29	16.3	18.1	-1.78
Antoine Carr	32	33	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	1	6	16.0	15.8	0.18	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Jeff Hornacek	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	3	2	16.0	15.6	0.45	17.2	16.0	1.29
Greg Ostertag	20	21	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-1	10	18.7	15.1	3.64	23.3	14.8	8.46
Shandon Anderson	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	15.6	16.0	-0.45	16.0	17.2	-1.29
Adam Keefe	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	17.5	15.2	2.29	18.1	16.3	1.78
Chris Morris	30	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	5	-2	12.6	17.6	-5.04	15.2	17.7	-2.49
Howard Eisley	20	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	19	-30	18.3	15.2	3.19	16.4	17.0	-0.54
Greg Foster	16	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	18	-28	18.2	15.4	2.81	11.5	17.9	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	91.5%
NYK 76, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	91.4%
SAS 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,1	91.3%