NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	7.3 [342]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +47.2%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	9.8 [171]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -24.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.28	0.02	0.25	-0.00	17	53%	0.32	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Al Thornton	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.12	0.02	-0.14	0.00	11	74%	0.23	5	-0.35	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.01	-0.14	-0.02	10	41%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	-0.00	8	54%	0.02	3	-0.16	10	90%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.47	0.47	0.16	0.31	-0.00	18	68%	0.47	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.11	0.03	8	77%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	15	23%	-0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	28.5	17.7	23.2	2.6	35.1	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.1%

LAC -12.7%

NYK +19.7%

NYK +26.4%

LAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	15.7	15.3	103.4	108.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		101.9	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	17.7	19.3	18.2	17.0
NYK	16.6	14.4	15.0	16.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	-1	-2	18.0	16.8	1.18	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Marcus Camby	67	66	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-8	12	17.2	16.5	0.69	16.4	13.5	2.97
Craig Smith	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-3	2	18.0	16.9	1.05	11.9	16.1	-4.19
Steve Novak	2	1	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	6.0	17.3	-11.30	1.0	15.9	-14.85
Sebastian Telfair	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	4	-12	18.6	16.5	2.17	15.3	15.8	-0.54
Baron Davis	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-8	12	16.5	18.6	-2.17	15.8	15.3	0.54
Chris Kaman	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-6	8	16.8	18.2	-1.39	16.2	12.6	3.59
Al Thornton	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	17.5	16.1	1.38	16.7	13.6	3.07
Rasual Butler	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-5	6	17.5	16.4	1.10	14.2	17.7	-3.52
Eric Gordon	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	5	-14	16.4	20.5	-4.11	15.5	16.4	-0.89

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	72	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-9	22	15.2	17.6	-2.37	17.3	15.7	1.66
David Lee	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-3	10	15.9	13.3	2.62	16.7	19.8	-3.04
Chris Duhon	70	68	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	15.9	15.0	0.86	16.6	18.5	-1.88
Jonathan Bender	26	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-4	12	13.7	16.5	-2.88	18.7	16.3	2.45
Danilo Gallinari	61	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	9	-14	16.6	13.6	2.96	16.5	18.3	-1.82
Jared Jeffries	58	58	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.42	-10	14	-24	16.2	14.6	1.59	16.4	18.2	-1.80
Al Harrington	56	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	15.2	16.4	-1.19	17.6	16.2	1.38
Toney Douglas	18	20	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.04	0	4	-4	15.0	15.9	-0.86	18.5	16.6	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.83,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,1	92.8%
GSW 115, SEA 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.8%
PHX 114, IND 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.96,0.96,1	92.4%