NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	118		Excitement	9.1 [131]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +27.3%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	2.3 [678]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): -25.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	4	137%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.07	0.07	-0.03	4	75%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.01	14	53%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.17	-0.09	0.01	20	77%	0.23	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.26	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	24	37%	-0.08	7	-0.17	6	33%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.22	0.02	23	56%	0.34	2	-0.07	13	85%	0.11
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	0.01	13	69%	0.32	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	14	68%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	133%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	2	29%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	28.6	15.4	22.6	2.4	37.4	136.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +7.6%

TOR +2.7%

TOR +41.0%

TOR +4.3%

NOP -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	TOR	NBA	NOP	TOR	NBA
this game	12.8	14.9	14.7	113.5	117.3	107.5
season	13.6	14.6		108.0	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	12.9	12.5	13.7	12.8
TOR	15.4	14.3	15.2	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	42	43	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.01	9	-13	22	11.0	14.1	-3.08	15.7	14.3	1.40
Tony Allen	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-8	12	12.1	13.2	-1.05	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jameer Nelson	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-8	12	12.5	13.3	-0.80	15.3	14.3	0.98
E'Twaun Moore	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	6	-16	13.8	11.5	2.32	15.1	14.6	0.51
Dante Cunningham	63	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	2	-8	13.0	12.6	0.33	14.8	14.9	-0.07
DeMarcus Cousins	83	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	3	-10	13.8	9.0	4.75	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Jrue Holiday	93	93	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.50	-4	0	-4	12.7	14.4	-1.71	14.5	18.3	-3.82
Anthony Davis	84	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.42	-10	6	-16	12.7	13.2	-0.51	14.4	16.6	-2.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	65	67	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.42	12	-8	20	14.0	16.3	-2.28	13.4	11.7	1.72
Jonas Valanciunas	60	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-6	16	14.0	16.1	-2.10	13.7	11.7	2.04
Kyle Lowry	73	75	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-8	20	14.1	16.6	-2.46	13.8	10.4	3.31
OG Anunoby	32	32	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.49	8	-4	12	12.7	15.8	-3.13	14.3	12.2	2.18
DeMar DeRozan	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-3	10	14.5	16.1	-1.61	12.9	12.7	0.24
Lucas Nogueira	2	3	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	14.0	14.9	-0.87	16.7	12.7	3.94
Norman Powell	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	14.6	15.0	-0.43	13.4	12.5	0.84
Fred VanVleet	31	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	1	2	15.6	14.5	1.03	12.4	13.0	-0.63
CJ Miles	37	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.13	-6	10	-16	16.9	13.7	3.20	11.4	13.7	-2.31
Delon Wright	30	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	15	-26	16.9	14.0	2.83	10.8	13.6	-2.81
Pascal Siakam	30	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	15	-26	16.9	14.0	2.83	10.8	13.6	-2.81
Jakob Poeltl	42	41	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	14	-24	16.2	14.0	2.20	11.3	13.8	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.97,1	92.8%
DET 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.84,0.92,1	92.6%
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	92.2%