NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	9.1 [127]		MVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): +26.9%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	2.1 [761]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -23.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	19	59%	0.15	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.11
Brandon Jennings	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	16	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.09
Josh Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.29,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	19	33%	-0.13	3	-0.09	8	0%	-0.20
Will Bynum	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	-0.01	11	41%	-0.13	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.18	-0.00	9	73%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.16	-0.03	16	56%	0.37	5	-0.19	9	67%	-0.06
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	85%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	8	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	12	59%	0.01	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	12	43%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.6	15.6	28.0	2.5	43.2	144.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.3%

PHX +16.7%

DET -50.9%

PHX +19.1%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.1	92.9	99.0	105.2
season	15.0	14.7		104.7	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	16.0	13.7	15.6	15.0
PHX	14.7	13.4	15.1	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-4	2	13.2	15.4	-2.18	14.5	14.0	0.46
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	19	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	13.3	15.4	-2.07	12.6	14.5	-1.94
Andre Drummond	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	1	-8	15.7	12.7	2.99	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Brandon Jennings	26	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	5	-16	15.9	14.7	1.21	16.8	13.1	3.68
Will Bynum	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	14.3	16.5	-2.21	13.3	15.8	-2.44
Rodney Stuckey	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-3	0	15.4	14.2	1.22	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Greg Monroe	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.1	14.7	0.42	14.9	12.6	2.28
Josh Smith	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-4	2	15.0	14.9	0.10	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Kyle Singler	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-3	0	15.0	15.0	-0.06	14.3	13.6	0.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	57	56	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-5	16	14.4	13.7	0.67	15.4	14.5	0.85
Eric Bledsoe	79	78	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.28	13	-7	20	14.4	12.9	1.51	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Goran Dragic	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	1	4	14.3	13.7	0.65	15.3	14.3	1.08
Channing Frye	49	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-3	12	14.6	13.6	1.05	13.9	16.1	-2.24
Markieff Morris	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	13.4	15.4	-1.91	15.4	14.2	1.21
Miles Plumlee	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	3	0	14.9	13.4	1.46	16.0	14.1	1.92
Alex Len	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	4	-2	13.0	14.5	-1.54	13.7	15.5	-1.83
Ish Smith	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	9	-12	13.9	14.1	-0.22	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Marcus Morris	46	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	13	-20	13.8	14.3	-0.47	15.1	14.9	0.18
Gerald Green	46	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	10	-14	13.5	14.7	-1.20	14.7	15.3	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 118, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.6%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	92.4%
DAL 90, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	92.1%