NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	8.3 [186]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +24.6%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	2.6 [439]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -18.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.09	0.14	-0.02	21	60%	0.37	3	-0.12	10	100%	0.14
Brandon Bass	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	5	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.14	0.01	-0.14	0.00	4	62%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	12	46%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	19	54%	0.26	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.08
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.02	20	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	0.00	14	44%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.0	33.1	19.8	30.2	3.0	40.2	158.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +9.8%

DAL -4.4%

BOS +26.6%

BOS +18.1%

DAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	18.2	15.4	15.4	104.7	112.9	105.7
season	16.1	15.6		108.9	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.5	18.9	17.2	18.4	18.2
BOS	14.9	17.1	13.5	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-4	2	19.2	18.2	1.04	18.7	15.2	3.46
Jose Juan Barea	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	15.9	18.9	-2.92	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Brandon Bass	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	18.3	18.1	0.18	15.8	15.1	0.69
DeSagana Diop	3	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	22.0	18.1	3.92	10.3	15.6	-5.30
Trenton Hassell	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-9	12	18.3	18.1	0.14	17.1	13.6	3.44
Erick Dampier	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	19.0	17.9	1.08	14.1	16.1	-1.90
Devean George	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-12	18	17.2	18.9	-1.72	16.0	15.0	0.99
Eddie Jones	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	2	-10	17.6	18.8	-1.23	14.1	16.9	-2.79
Dirk Nowitzki	77	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-5	4	18.0	20.0	-1.99	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Jason Terry	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	19.2	15.1	4.00	15.6	15.1	0.50
Josh Howard	72	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	3	-12	18.5	17.0	1.46	15.3	16.1	-0.75

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	50	51	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.35	13	-7	20	15.2	15.8	-0.60	18.7	17.5	1.19
Paul Pierce	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	0	6	14.8	19.1	-4.23	17.6	21.5	-3.92
Ray Allen	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-5	16	15.8	13.1	2.66	18.8	13.5	5.34
James Posey	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	15.7	14.9	0.80	18.1	18.5	-0.46
Tony Allen	26	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	15.4	15.5	-0.03	16.9	18.8	-1.92
Kendrick Perkins	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	2	2	14.7	15.9	-1.24	19.0	17.7	1.29
Leon Powe	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	16.2	14.7	1.56	18.8	17.7	1.14
Brian Scalabrine	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	7	-8	15.4	15.5	-0.07	18.0	18.4	-0.40
Eddie House	35	35	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	13	-20	15.8	15.2	0.60	17.5	18.7	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,1,1	92.2%
DET 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.84,0.92,1	92.1%
NYK 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	91.3%