inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 95 Excitement4.0 [1043] MVPMarkieff Morris (WAS): +12.7%
Washington Wizards 111 Comeback1.4 [1215] LVPLonzo Ball (LAL): -11.2%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.03-0.031062%0.131-0.01475%0.00
Brook Lopez0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.001248%0.051-0.027100%0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.021054%0.041-0.02475%0.00
Tyler Ennis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Vander Blue0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ivica Zubac0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Ingram-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01845%-0.001-0.01667%-0.01
Corey Brewer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Julius Randle-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00658%0.034-0.05771%-0.00
Josh Hart-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.14-0.00-0.061438%-0.005-0.08683%0.01
Lonzo Ball-0.110,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.00-0.041232%-0.034-0.08743%-0.04

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Markieff Morris0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.00-0.007100%0.162-0.032100%0.01
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.001661%0.142-0.041100%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.013117%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00487%0.0510.0000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.011853%0.072-0.037100%0.02
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.06-0.01140%0.062-0.03367%0.06
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.020.031659%0.074-0.04580%0.01
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.02-0.03520%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08822%-0.001-0.012100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.04580%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.830.310.829.92.728.3133.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +44.2%
WAS +4.3%
LAL -2.4%
WAS +1.6%
WAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALWASNBALALWASNBA
this game12.714.314.789.6103.7107.5
season13.714.8105.7108.2
opponent14.714.8107.9107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL12.214.312.112.212.7
WAS13.512.914.117.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vander Blue670.00-0.500.50-0.124-20248.812.9-4.1116.914.12.71
Ivica Zubac670.00-0.500.50-0.124-20248.812.9-4.1116.914.12.71
Tyler Ennis2224-0.02-0.480.47-0.258-243210.613.3-2.6717.013.63.39
Corey Brewer2223-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-141213.012.60.3713.814.5-0.69
Josh Hart3030-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-7-214.412.02.4115.114.01.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7778-0.23-0.270.040.00-8-8012.513.3-0.8814.015.2-1.25
Julius Randle5250-0.24-0.260.010.08-11-5-613.012.40.6114.714.00.70
Brook Lopez4850-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-7-212.912.60.2713.615.0-1.36
Lonzo Ball6665-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-1-1412.513.0-0.4314.014.8-0.83
Jordan Clarkson4444-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-12-4-813.712.01.7413.714.8-1.10
Kyle Kuzma7979-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-10-6-412.313.9-1.6314.214.8-0.62
Brandon Ingram7878-0.40-0.10-0.290.19-204-2413.111.71.4014.314.4-0.07

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal84840.450.050.40-0.1721-52613.916.0-2.1312.912.00.95
John Wall70690.360.140.22-0.2922-62813.815.3-1.4413.311.71.59
Jodie Meeks39390.300.200.110.13610-415.313.81.5412.612.8-0.19
Otto Porter Jr.87850.260.240.03-0.03106414.015.6-1.5712.712.70.05
Ian Mahinmi30320.250.25-0.000.0188014.114.4-0.3613.012.60.37
Marcin Gortat66650.250.25-0.01-0.11124814.514.10.3312.712.70.04
Mike Scott18190.230.27-0.040.0379-214.114.4-0.3313.112.60.42
Markieff Morris39370.210.29-0.070.0179-213.914.6-0.6813.412.31.11
Tim Frazier37370.140.36-0.220.32-622-2815.313.81.4411.713.3-1.59
Kelly Oubre Jr.54540.040.46-0.420.13-319-2215.213.41.7711.913.6-1.74
Jason Smith430.010.49-0.490.01016-169.714.5-4.7517.312.64.76
Tomas Satoransky760.000.50-0.500.12-420-2416.914.12.718.812.9-4.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, IND 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
POR 79, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
NYK 95, DET 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.94,0.98,196.0%