NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	4.3 [959]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +11.1%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.2 [873]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -15.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.09	13	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	21	28%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	17	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	6	92%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	-0.06	17	20%	-0.13	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	29.2	16.4	20.0	2.7	45.8	139.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.7%

DET +11.3%

DET +17.9%

DET +4.2%

DET +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.1	103.3	107.7	104.2
season	16.1	15.7		98.5	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	16.2	18.8	13.0	15.8
DET	17.2	14.5	17.2	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cleanthony Early	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-3	3	17.5	15.6	1.91	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Travis Wear	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	19.1	15.5	3.63	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Cole Aldrich	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-4	5	16.3	15.7	0.63	15.2	15.8	-0.54
Pablo Prigioni	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	3	-9	20.1	15.3	4.83	13.7	15.9	-2.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-10	17	14.1	17.4	-3.32	15.4	15.9	-0.44
Quincy Acy	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	3	-9	19.5	14.6	4.91	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Samuel Dalembert	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	5	-13	19.0	14.6	4.36	16.4	15.3	1.05
Jason Smith	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.5	14.6	1.89
Shane Larkin	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	15.1	17.4	-2.30	15.8	15.2	0.66
Iman Shumpert	72	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-6	9	14.7	20.1	-5.45	16.2	13.8	2.44
Tim Hardaway Jr.	53	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.6	16.2	-0.59	14.7	16.9	-2.25
Carmelo Anthony	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	0	-3	14.9	20.1	-5.19	15.9	14.6	1.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	14.6	17.8	-3.18	15.6	16.2	-0.63
D.J. Augustin	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	6	-9	14.4	17.1	-2.66	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Andre Drummond	52	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-6	15	15.4	16.0	-0.59	17.3	13.7	3.58
Josh Smith	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	9	-15	15.9	15.0	0.88	14.5	19.3	-4.78
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.48	-7	10	-17	16.3	13.9	2.42	14.8	18.8	-4.05
Greg Monroe	69	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	16.6	12.8	3.78	14.9	18.5	-3.60
Jonas Jerebko	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-6	15	15.0	15.9	-0.89	19.0	14.5	4.42
Kyle Singler	23	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	-4	11	15.0	15.9	-0.85	18.8	14.8	4.05
Brandon Jennings	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-2	7	16.0	15.3	0.76	16.1	15.6	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHA 88, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.0%
LAL 95, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%