NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	6.7 [515]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +31.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.1 [607]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -15.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	11	68%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	21	59%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	25	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	29%	-0.14
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.19	0.09	18	71%	0.35	2	-0.03	15	100%	0.10
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.17	0.01	17	65%	0.30	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.04	15	71%	0.23	5	-0.11	5	60%	0.02
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	26.2	14.6	33.5	2.4	42.5	145.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.5%

POR +18.5%

POR +19.2%

OKC -25.3%

POR +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.7	98.0	102.0	107.5
season	14.2	15.2		109.4	107.8
opponent	14.3	15.3		105.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	11.8	13.6	13.1	13.3
POR	15.6	15.9	14.7	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	37	35	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-10	16	14.4	12.7	1.63	16.6	14.4	2.19
Alex Abrines	30	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-15	26	13.4	13.3	0.12	16.3	14.6	1.67
Raymond Felton	48	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.45	16	-20	36	13.7	13.0	0.77	16.6	13.9	2.63
Jerami Grant	57	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-14	24	12.9	13.9	-0.92	15.8	14.3	1.55
Andre Roberson	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	12	-28	13.2	13.5	-0.23	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Carmelo Anthony	47	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	5	-14	13.8	12.9	0.86	15.2	15.2	0.03
Steven Adams	66	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	8	-20	13.2	13.7	-0.52	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Paul George	88	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	7	-18	13.3	13.9	-0.66	14.7	18.1	-3.48
Russell Westbrook	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	11	-26	12.9	14.8	-1.92	14.0	19.2	-5.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	70	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.08	21	-17	38	14.4	16.9	-2.55	13.6	12.8	0.78
Damian Lillard	81	81	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-10	24	14.1	19.3	-5.15	12.8	15.4	-2.62
Maurice Harkless	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-6	16	13.8	17.9	-4.09	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Noah Vonleh	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-18	40	13.9	16.5	-2.58	13.2	13.5	-0.36
CJ McCollum	76	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-4	12	15.1	15.3	-0.20	13.6	12.8	0.78
Evan Turner	62	63	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.44	-15	19	-34	16.2	13.5	2.66	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Caleb Swanigan	26	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	17	-30	18.8	13.9	4.95	14.5	13.0	1.50
Pat Connaughton	42	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.17	-12	16	-28	16.3	14.4	1.87	13.3	13.4	-0.10
Ed Davis	28	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.24	-15	19	-34	18.5	13.9	4.61	13.7	13.2	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
SAC 103, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.79,0.96,1,1	94.0%
TOR 89, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.78,0.97,1,1	94.0%