NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	5.8 [676]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +15.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1292]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): -8.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.07	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Donte Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.07	0.04	13	59%	0.02	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06
Jason Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	42%	0.00	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	6	79%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	90%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	21	62%	0.16	4	-0.13	10	80%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	43%	0.00	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Luke Walton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.8	2.7	32.5	16.5	30.8	2.8	32.0	149.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.6%

SAC -9.2%

LAL +5.8%

LAL +15.8%

SAC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.5	105.1	113.1	106.4
season	15.0	14.9		104.0	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.6	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	15.0	14.1	17.4	14.8
LAL	13.4	16.3	12.6	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	29	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-17	25	14.8	14.8	0.07	13.7	14.8	-1.05
Bobby Brown	23	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-10	11	15.0	14.7	0.24	13.9	14.6	-0.77
Mikki Moore	44	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-18	27	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.8	14.2	0.64
Jason Thompson	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-14	19	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.2	13.9	1.35
Donte Greene	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	11.6	15.3	-3.75	12.3	14.9	-2.57
Brad Miller	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	3	-15	14.2	15.3	-1.08	14.0	14.9	-0.82
John Salmons	85	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	1	-11	15.0	13.5	1.51	14.7	12.5	2.24
Francisco Garcia	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	15.2	13.5	1.69	14.9	13.2	1.71
Beno Udrih	69	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	5	-19	14.7	15.0	-0.32	14.6	14.0	0.59
Spencer Hawes	60	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	11	-31	15.2	14.1	1.18	14.0	15.2	-1.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-10	29	14.5	14.4	0.11	15.3	14.2	1.15
Kobe Bryant	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-2	13	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.2	13.1	2.07
Pau Gasol	76	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	14.6	14.0	0.61	14.5	15.7	-1.26
Luke Walton	50	52	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-6	21	13.6	15.3	-1.67	14.7	14.8	-0.14
Lamar Odom	57	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	4	1	14.6	14.3	0.27	15.2	14.2	1.01
Andrew Bynum	50	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	3	3	14.9	14.0	0.84	15.1	14.4	0.71
Trevor Ariza	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	11	-13	15.2	13.9	1.22	14.8	14.8	0.01
Josh Powell	12	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	10	-11	11.0	14.9	-3.94	10.8	15.3	-4.46
Jordan Farmar	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.25	-10	19	-29	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Sasha Vujacic	30	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	18	-27	14.8	14.3	0.53	14.6	14.8	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.79,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 106, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 83, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%