inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 104 Excitement5.4 [764] MVPAaron Gordon (ORL): +12.2%
Orlando Magic 88 Comeback1.4 [813] LVPEvan Fournier (ORL): -9.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.100,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.04-0.021362%0.193-0.09333%-0.03
Semi Ojeleye0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.002125%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.010.08872%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Marcus Smart0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.04-0.031244%0.092-0.041100%0.00
Marcus Morris0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.011050%0.0400.004100%0.02
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01643%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Al Horford-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.01878%0.106-0.15250%-0.01
Kyrie Irving-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.021337%-0.041-0.03475%0.01
Terry Rozier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.02930%-0.041-0.042100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.02-0.031358%0.131-0.015100%0.03
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.01-0.011543%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02167%0.0000.0010%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00250%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.011154%0.043-0.074100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.03853%-0.011-0.0210%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.001231%-0.041-0.025100%0.03
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00844%-0.003-0.082100%0.01
Evan Fournier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.15-0.02-0.071421%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.029.214.526.31.729.3125.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +56.8%
ORL -15.5%
BOS +8.8%
ORL -4.4%
BOS +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game15.013.914.7105.188.0107.5
season15.114.6106.4104.2
opponent14.514.7109.1103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.213.816.714.515.0
ORL14.214.413.413.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart59600.67-0.170.84-0.2732-164814.415.9-1.5414.313.40.94
Terry Rozier55560.430.070.37-0.2122-62813.916.3-2.4014.713.01.64
Semi Ojeleye33370.350.150.200.18610-414.915.0-0.1113.714.1-0.42
Aron Baynes35350.300.200.110.01106413.715.7-2.0913.114.4-1.31
Shane Larkin22210.180.32-0.140.15115-1413.915.3-1.4214.013.90.08
Jaylen Brown56590.140.36-0.220.11115-1415.614.31.3313.914.0-0.06
Al Horford56560.130.37-0.23-0.1397216.213.52.6914.912.72.21
Marcus Morris50480.130.37-0.240.07214-1215.114.90.2613.914.0-0.08
Kyrie Irving55560.110.39-0.28-0.1388016.113.72.3514.013.90.10
Jayson Tatum57550.050.45-0.40-0.13610-415.114.80.3113.614.3-0.67
Daniel Theis770.000.50-0.500.15-521-2614.115.1-0.9311.714.1-2.39
Guerschon Yabusele550.000.50-0.500.18-622-2815.615.00.629.414.2-4.78
Abdel Nader550.000.50-0.500.18-622-2815.615.00.629.414.2-4.78

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights770.00-0.500.50-0.155-212611.714.1-2.3914.115.1-0.93
Arron Afflalo770.00-0.500.50-0.155-212611.714.1-2.3914.115.1-0.93
Wes Iwundu770.00-0.500.50-0.155-212611.714.1-2.3914.115.1-0.93
Jonathon Simmons4042-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-141213.914.0-0.0717.113.53.58
Aaron Gordon6968-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-182014.113.50.6616.012.83.16
Nikola Vucevic6565-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-11614.213.40.7916.212.73.46
Terrence Ross6060-0.24-0.260.010.08-11-5-614.113.60.5315.214.70.57
Evan Fournier7373-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-1-1414.312.91.3915.114.70.43
Mario Hezonja3029-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-6-413.014.3-1.3413.315.7-2.45
Bismack Biyombo2827-0.36-0.14-0.230.11-160-1613.914.0-0.1212.416.0-3.63
Shelvin Mack5350-0.49-0.01-0.480.07-193-2214.313.60.6913.416.7-3.25
Jonathan Isaac6160-0.520.02-0.530.04-193-2213.814.2-0.4314.515.8-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.35,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 93, MIN 700.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
NJN 101, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.09,094.0%
PHI 114, SEA 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,093.9%