NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	4.1 [997]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +30.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	70		Comeback	1.2 [1185]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -10.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.24	0.09	0.03	20	73%	0.30	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Delonte West	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	16	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	3	87%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Darnell Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	19	51%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	63%	0.08	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	-0.08	8	11%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	26.3	15.4	21.5	2.3	28.3	117.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.3%

MIN -7.5%

CLE +8.9%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.5	108.1	83.3	106.4
season	16.9	15.8		110.6	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.2	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	15.5	18.2	16.8	16.8
MIN	18.3	17.2	17.0	15.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	1	21	17.3	14.9	2.38	17.5	15.5	1.93
Sasha Pavlovic	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	6	11	16.1	18.0	-1.85	17.9	15.6	2.34
Delonte West	73	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	2	19	16.9	16.2	0.69	17.1	17.1	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	17	-11	15.3	17.9	-2.59	18.6	15.9	2.77
Anderson Varejao	60	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	13	-3	17.3	15.6	1.77	17.4	16.4	0.96
JJ Hickson	23	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	7	9	16.8	16.8	0.02	15.9	17.5	-1.62
Ben Wallace	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	14	-5	17.6	15.8	1.82	16.6	17.6	-1.03
Mo Williams	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	20	-17	18.0	15.8	2.17	16.4	17.6	-1.19
Lorenzen Wright	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	13.4	17.0	-3.62	12.0	17.3	-5.33
Tarence Kinsey	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	13.4	17.0	-3.62	12.0	17.3	-5.33
Jawad Williams	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	12.7	17.0	-4.26	12.0	17.3	-5.33
Darnell Jackson	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	26	-29	15.7	17.0	-1.32	16.1	17.3	-1.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	61	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-19	15	16.0	19.8	-3.73	17.7	14.2	3.48
Ryan Gomes	60	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-23	23	16.7	17.9	-1.12	17.8	14.6	3.15
Craig Smith	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-12	1	16.1	19.5	-3.34	17.1	16.0	1.09
Kevin Love	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-5	-13	18.3	16.2	2.10	15.2	17.9	-2.69
Al Jefferson	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-8	-7	17.1	16.8	0.38	17.4	14.4	3.07
Rashad McCants	31	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.28	-25	2	-27	18.0	16.5	1.47	14.9	18.0	-3.09
Kevin Ollie	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	-2	-19	18.2	15.6	2.54	15.5	18.4	-2.92
Mike Miller	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	-2	-19	17.2	16.7	0.57	16.9	16.6	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.35,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
TOR 103, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.9%