inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement5.0 [835] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +17.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 87 Comeback1.1 [435] LVPMike Miller (MEM): -9.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.020.011075%0.212-0.06875%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.001362%0.101-0.023100%0.01
Terrence Ross0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.00567%0.0600.002100%0.01
Rudy Gay0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.021857%0.164-0.12475%0.01
Amir Johnson0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.02864%0.082-0.046100%0.02
Quincy Acy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01067%0.0300.00667%0.00
Dwight Buycks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.01167%0.041-0.014100%0.02
D.J. Augustin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02629%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00050%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00533%-0.032-0.072100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.01-0.021971%0.253-0.07333%-0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Franklin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.031450%-0.0200.00875%-0.02
Nick Calathes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02050%0.002-0.02250%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0320%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00950%0.033-0.072100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.03542%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.0430%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.011145%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.030.011040%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.833.116.526.42.433.2138.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +25.7%
TOR +27.5%
MEM -12.6%
TOR +5.8%
TOR +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game16.515.315.1114.495.6105.2
season15.916.4107.2104.5
opponent15.215.1103.4104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.915.717.717.016.5
MEM15.415.015.914.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough45470.52-0.020.550.051601614.518.6-4.1115.515.10.42
Amir Johnson56560.390.110.29-0.051511416.716.30.4516.014.11.90
DeMar DeRozan61610.370.130.24-0.041421216.716.30.4015.714.51.22
Kyle Lowry64630.350.150.200.1579-217.214.92.3315.714.41.29
Terrence Ross38400.340.160.190.20511-615.917.0-1.1714.615.8-1.22
Rudy Gay79800.270.230.03-0.09124816.615.80.8315.315.10.22
Dwight Buycks24260.150.35-0.20-0.0988014.317.3-3.0214.815.5-0.67
Aaron Gray14130.100.40-0.290.05214-1219.216.13.1612.815.7-2.94
Quincy Acy10110.060.44-0.390.06016-1617.716.41.3012.415.7-3.32
Austin Daye010.030.47-0.44-0.03214-120.016.5-16.540.015.5-15.46
D.J. Augustin220.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1421.516.45.079.015.4-6.43
Landry Fields220.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1421.516.45.079.015.4-6.43
Jonas Valanciunas5553-0.090.59-0.680.00-319-2217.215.61.5916.114.21.94

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Franklin970.01-0.510.520.07-2-141213.315.5-2.1717.716.41.27
Jon Leuer55-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-161613.815.4-1.5718.816.42.39
Nick Calathes1210-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-12814.615.4-0.8113.516.9-3.43
Tony Allen5557-0.09-0.410.31-0.04-2-141215.515.00.5217.015.81.19
Kosta Koufos1615-0.11-0.390.280.06-6-10415.715.20.4915.216.8-1.61
Zach Randolph5758-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-141215.115.6-0.4816.416.7-0.27
Marc Gasol5961-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-12815.814.31.4517.414.82.58
Jerryd Bayless2624-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-9215.415.20.1414.217.4-3.13
Tayshaun Prince6363-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-10415.015.8-0.7717.115.31.78
Mike Conley6566-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-4-815.215.6-0.4617.115.11.99
Mike Miller4139-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-15-1-1415.914.81.1715.517.4-1.87
Ed Davis4745-0.570.07-0.650.01-204-2415.115.5-0.4116.316.8-0.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 93, MIN 700.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
LAC 106, ORL 940.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,093.7%
MIN 108, WAS 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,093.5%