NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	7.5 [352]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): +67.3%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	7.5 [192]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -40.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.67	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.67	0.04	0.64	0.00	9	61%	0.70	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	14	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	12	70%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04
Vince Carter	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.4	-0.13	-0.30	-0.03	23	31%	-0.37	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.31	0.02	6	56%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	17	67%	0.13	6	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	52%	0.04	4	-0.12	13	46%	-0.09
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.10	0.04	14	59%	0.01	4	-0.12	11	91%	0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.19	-0.00	10	40%	-0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.3	16.6	28.7	1.7	43.5	145.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +65.5%

NYK -19.7%

NYK -28.1%

NJN +23.9%

NJN +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.4	109.8	107.5	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		103.1	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	13.8	16.4	15.1	15.3
NYK	16.0	15.6	17.1	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	27	28	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.71	4	-3	7	15.9	15.0	0.82	15.9	15.8	0.10
Jason Kidd	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	1	-1	15.1	16.2	-1.12	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Clifford Robinson	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	-1	3	15.1	15.5	-0.39	16.1	15.5	0.67
Richard Jefferson	73	74	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.46	-6	7	-13	15.4	14.7	0.74	15.4	17.8	-2.49
Vince Carter	75	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	6	-11	15.3	15.3	-0.03	15.6	16.9	-1.23
Josh Boone	20	19	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	-5	11	15.6	15.2	0.42	16.9	15.6	1.30
Bostjan Nachbar	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-6	13	13.9	15.5	-1.67	17.2	15.6	1.59
Marcus Williams	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-3	7	13.9	15.5	-1.58	17.2	15.6	1.59
Mikki Moore	57	58	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	16.1	14.0	2.05	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Jason Collins	47	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	4	-7	14.9	15.7	-0.77	16.1	15.7	0.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	54	53	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	1	-3	16.6	14.9	1.66	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Malik Rose	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	1	-3	19.3	15.6	3.71	18.1	15.0	3.11
Nate Robinson	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	16.3	15.8	0.52	12.7	15.6	-2.89
Channing Frye	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	5	-11	16.2	15.0	1.20	15.6	14.6	1.01
David Lee	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-3	5	15.9	15.8	0.09	14.3	16.1	-1.73
Quentin Richardson	87	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-3	5	15.7	18.0	-2.29	15.4	13.5	1.94
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-3	5	15.4	18.1	-2.74	15.5	14.2	1.28
Jared Jeffries	44	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.58	5	-6	11	15.2	16.5	-1.29	16.2	14.4	1.79
Eddy Curry	81	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-1	1	15.7	16.7	-0.93	15.2	15.6	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 104, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.35,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%