NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	5.1 [809]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.2 [1154]		LVP	Frank Mason (SAC): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	4	125%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.05	0.06	14	66%	0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Frank Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.06	-0.05	10	67%	0.15	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.09	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.06	15	75%	0.11	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	0.8	28.2	14.0	25.4	1.7	29.3	123.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.6%

DET +3.6%

DET +11.9%

DET +11.3%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.7	104.2	111.3	107.5
season	15.4	14.9		102.9	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	16.1	14.8	14.0	14.7
DET	15.9	17.4	14.0	14.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	17	17	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-13	17	16.7	14.3	2.41	16.8	14.9	1.89
Skal Labissiere	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	15.2	14.7	0.52	17.8	14.9	2.88
Buddy Hield	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-11	13	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.9	14.8	1.14
Frank Mason	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-11	13	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.9	14.8	1.14
Kosta Koufos	34	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-11	13	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.8	15.0	0.88
Justin Jackson	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	14.7	14.7	0.04	16.3	14.8	1.51
Vince Carter	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.9	14.0	1.89	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Willie Cauley-Stein	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	0	-9	14.2	15.1	-0.91	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Zach Randolph	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	2	-13	14.6	14.9	-0.33	15.0	15.8	-0.88
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.60	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Garrett Temple	54	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.2	15.5	-1.30	14.8	15.9	-1.14
De'Aaron Fox	54	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.2	15.5	-1.30	14.8	15.9	-1.14

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	70	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	14.3	17.9	-3.58	14.1	16.4	-2.35
Stanley Johnson	44	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	16.2	14.5	1.71	14.9	14.5	0.39
Andre Drummond	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	1	7	14.5	18.2	-3.76	14.0	17.5	-3.43
Tobias Harris	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	0	9	15.0	15.9	-0.84	14.7	14.7	0.01
Reggie Jackson	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	2	5	14.8	15.9	-1.05	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Anthony Tolliver	39	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	16.0	14.8	1.27	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Ish Smith	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	15.9	14.8	1.05	14.9	14.6	0.24
Luke Kennard	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	7	-5	13.5	15.8	-2.35	15.7	14.5	1.21
Eric Moreland	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	12	-15	16.9	14.9	1.96	16.3	14.4	1.91
Reggie Bullock	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	12	-15	16.5	14.5	1.96	16.0	14.0	1.97
Langston Galloway	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	12	-15	18.8	14.8	4.07	15.5	14.6	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 89, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIA 89, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%