NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	7.9 [281]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): +22.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	98		Comeback	1.4 [616]		LVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): -15.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.19	0.02	0.20	0.02	18	50%	0.23	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	4	100%	0.18	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	100%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0,0	-0.09	0.08	-0.01	21	40%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.07
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.07	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.14	-0.03	21	67%	0.40	8	-0.17	10	100%	0.11
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	18	51%	-0.02	2	-0.07	11	73%	-0.06
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.0	29.4	14.0	25.2	2.3	35.3	132.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.7%

NOP -4.5%

MIN +6.3%

NOP -3.5%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	14.8	13.0	14.7	102.0	93.3	107.5
season	15.3	13.6		111.8	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		107.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	13.0	16.9	16.5	14.8
NOP	11.4	13.6	13.8	13.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	28	32	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-9	24	12.1	15.9	-3.81	12.8	13.1	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	37	39	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-6	18	11.9	16.5	-4.57	12.8	13.2	-0.40
Nemanja Bjelica	32	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	1	4	12.4	15.9	-3.49	12.4	13.3	-0.87
Gorgui Dieng	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-1	8	14.5	15.3	-0.78	12.7	13.4	-0.73
Shabazz Muhammad	21	23	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-4	14	10.8	15.9	-5.07	14.0	12.7	1.26
Andrew Wiggins	78	79	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	8	-10	15.9	11.5	4.41	12.8	13.6	-0.79
Karl-Anthony Towns	47	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.3	14.5	0.78	13.4	12.7	0.73
Taj Gibson	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	5	-4	15.9	12.4	3.49	13.3	12.4	0.87
Jimmy Butler	68	69	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	14	-22	16.5	11.6	4.91	13.1	12.9	0.11
Jeff Teague	74	73	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	15	-24	15.9	12.1	3.81	13.1	12.8	0.30

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	59	57	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-9	12	12.6	13.5	-0.86	15.8	13.7	2.09
Cheick Diallo	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	10.8	13.4	-2.62	12.8	15.2	-2.41
Jrue Holiday	80	80	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-16	26	12.8	13.6	-0.71	15.9	11.0	4.89
Jameer Nelson	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	12.8	13.2	-0.34	12.7	16.5	-3.84
Anthony Davis	93	90	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	13.4	10.4	2.94	15.0	13.4	1.61
Darius Miller	7	7	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	1	-8	12.4	13.1	-0.63	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Tony Allen	41	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	13.0	13.1	-0.11	15.6	14.4	1.27
E'Twaun Moore	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	2	-10	13.7	12.1	1.60	15.7	13.5	2.17
DeMarcus Cousins	89	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	2	-10	13.3	11.6	1.72	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Ian Clark	31	29	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	12	-30	12.8	13.1	-0.30	11.7	16.1	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	90.7%
TOR 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.41,0	90.7%
HOU 97, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.22,0.3,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.42,0	90.5%