NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	7.4 [369]		MVP	Jon Barry (HOU): +38.0%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	2.2 [336]		LVP	Bob Sura (HOU): -22.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	8	106%	0.47	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.24	0.14	0.11	0.01	15	72%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Scott Padgett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.06
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.23	-0.08	-0.17	-0.02	7	45%	-0.15	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.07

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	-0.01	15	71%	0.35	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	29.2	15.6	26.1	2.4	37.6	137.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.3%

HOU +13.7%

HOU +13.0%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	106.6	105.6	104.0
season	16.0	14.4		104.2	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.8		104.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	16.5	16.1	17.0	16.2
BOS	15.2	17.8	15.2	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	31	30	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.09	24	-21	45	15.5	16.6	-1.03	18.4	14.4	3.98
Rod Strickland	30	30	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-5	13	16.6	16.0	0.60	17.1	15.1	1.96
Jon Barry	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-7	17	16.6	15.7	0.91	17.2	13.8	3.35
Ryan Bowen	3	2	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	3.0	16.7	-13.68	6.0	16.0	-9.99
Dikembe Mutombo	38	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	-1	5	15.3	16.9	-1.57	15.7	15.8	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	75	73	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	3	-3	16.1	16.8	-0.71	15.5	17.1	-1.58
Bob Sura	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	8	-13	15.6	17.6	-2.04	14.7	18.0	-3.31
Yao Ming	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	4	-5	17.5	14.7	2.78	16.0	15.5	0.52
David Wesley	69	66	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	13	-23	16.8	14.6	2.16	15.1	17.7	-2.66
Juwan Howard	45	44	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.06	-17	20	-37	16.5	15.9	0.60	14.6	16.9	-2.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	52	52	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.24	21	-24	45	14.7	17.2	-2.44	17.1	15.0	2.11
Paul Pierce	65	69	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.30	12	-15	27	14.2	20.0	-5.86	16.5	15.4	1.14
Mark Blount	49	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-7	11	15.2	16.5	-1.29	16.6	15.8	0.81
Gary Payton	68	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-6	9	15.3	17.3	-2.05	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Raef LaFrentz	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	5	-13	16.1	15.2	0.97	16.4	15.8	0.60
Marcus Banks	22	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.24	-4	1	-5	16.8	15.4	1.34	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Kendrick Perkins	35	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	4	-11	16.7	15.2	1.47	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Walter McCarty	15	14	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	8	-19	19.2	15.1	4.13	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Jiri Welsch	21	21	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	10	-23	18.9	14.8	4.11	14.2	16.8	-2.65
Ricky Davis	62	63	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	9	-21	16.2	14.8	1.36	15.9	16.9	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.22,0.3,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.32,0.16,0	91.4%
NJN 93, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.15,0	90.5%
GSW 86, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.42,0	90.5%