NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	2.8 [1227]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +10.3%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1070]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -7.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.00	0.08	21	69%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Thon Maker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	125%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.12	19	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Magette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	16	58%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	20	41%	0.00	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.04	9	54%	-0.03	4	-0.04	10	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	26.3	15.5	26.5	2.5	31.4	128.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.0%

MIL +2.2%

MIL +7.2%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.7	113.6	103.9	107.5
season	14.3	14.6		108.5	104.2
opponent	14.4	15.4		109.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.3	15.0	15.0	14.1	14.1
ATL	14.3	14.4	15.7	12.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.20	26	-15	41	13.6	16.1	-2.53	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	14.4	12.7	1.75	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Malcolm Brogdon	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	5	1	14.4	13.5	0.89	14.0	14.1	-0.15
John Henson	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	7	-3	13.3	15.3	-1.99	13.3	15.2	-1.80
Tony Snell	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	3	5	14.5	13.3	1.17	13.5	15.1	-1.68
Rashad Vaughn	47	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	12.9	15.1	-2.18	14.8	13.4	1.36
Thon Maker	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	4	3	15.6	13.1	2.55	15.2	13.3	1.80
Matthew Dellavedova	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	10	-9	14.0	14.1	-0.14	14.4	13.8	0.55
Mirza Teletovic	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	13	-15	14.7	13.9	0.80	15.6	13.5	2.06
Sterling Brown	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	12.0	14.1	-2.10	12.0	14.1	-2.06
D.J. Wilson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	12.0	14.1	-2.10	12.0	14.1	-2.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Taylor	33	35	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-19	27	14.3	13.9	0.35	14.5	13.8	0.69
Josh Magette	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	12.0	14.1	-2.06	12.0	14.1	-2.10
John Collins	49	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.40	9	-20	29	14.3	13.8	0.51	14.6	13.5	1.13
Marco Belinelli	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-18	25	13.4	14.8	-1.39	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Luke Babbitt	30	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-12	13	14.0	14.0	-0.01	13.8	14.2	-0.31
Malcolm Delaney	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	0	-11	14.4	14.0	0.38	12.1	14.4	-2.36
Kent Bazemore	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-9	7	14.1	13.9	0.19	14.2	13.7	0.57
Mike Muscala	62	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	3	-17	13.6	14.7	-1.09	14.7	13.1	1.58
Dewayne Dedmon	37	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	9	-29	15.6	13.1	2.48	13.7	14.2	-0.56
Taurean Prince	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	5	-21	13.7	15.3	-1.63	13.7	15.4	-1.66
Dennis Schroder	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	8	-27	14.1	14.0	0.05	14.2	13.8	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 113, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DEN 98, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%