NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	2.4 [1232]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +9.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	1.0 [608]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -6.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	17	68%	0.11	3	-0.02	4	25%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	10	66%	0.06	5	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	38%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	56%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	14	40%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	18	38%	-0.03	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	28.3	15.8	31.0	2.5	36.5	144.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.2%

DEN +4.8%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +5.8%

DEN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.7	103.2	91.5	100.5
season	14.9	15.5		101.6	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.1	14.3	15.5	21.6	15.9
LAC	16.9	13.4	13.3	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.00	12	0	12	15.7	16.3	-0.64	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Andre Miller	68	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	15.8	16.0	-0.19	14.8	14.1	0.75
Francisco Elson	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	16.1	15.2	0.90	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Voshon Lenard	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	6	0	15.4	16.6	-1.20	15.7	12.8	2.87
Nene	32	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	3	6	16.6	15.5	1.10	18.1	12.7	5.42
Chris Andersen	31	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	4	4	14.9	16.3	-1.38	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Earl Boykins	48	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	11	-10	17.5	14.2	3.22	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Marcus Camby	21	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	1	10	12.3	16.9	-4.59	17.6	13.8	3.80
Jon Barry	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	6	0	15.3	16.2	-0.90	12.9	15.4	-2.56
Ryan Bowen	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	8	-4	13.6	16.3	-2.69	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Rodney White	36	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.31	-10	22	-32	18.2	14.4	3.80	10.9	16.6	-5.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-16	20	14.8	14.6	0.28	21.7	14.4	7.34
Bobby Simmons	35	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-23	34	13.0	15.5	-2.51	16.3	15.6	0.67
Keyon Dooling	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-12	12	12.8	15.3	-2.49	18.6	14.8	3.79
Eddie House	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-6	0	14.8	14.6	0.26	13.0	16.2	-3.24
Doug Overton	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Chris Kaman	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	4	-20	14.2	14.7	-0.52	12.8	17.0	-4.26
Marko Jaric	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-4	-4	15.8	14.0	1.87	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Chris Wilcox	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.2	14.0	2.19	13.2	16.9	-3.68
Melvin Ely	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-20	28	13.5	17.1	-3.61	17.7	12.0	5.69
Predrag Drobnjak	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	7	-26	17.1	12.9	4.24	13.8	17.2	-3.37
Quentin Richardson	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-6	0	14.7	14.3	0.33	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Corey Maggette	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	1	-14	14.4	15.6	-1.17	16.2	13.5	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 112, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 113, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
ATL 106, NJN 70	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%