NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	2.0 [1043]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +6.0%
New Jersey Nets	70		Comeback	1.0 [842]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -13.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	93%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.04	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	24%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	12	53%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Dennis Horner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	6	23%	-0.02	2	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	62%	-0.00	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Damion James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	4	0%	-0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.06	6	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.0	15.5	27.8	1.7	27.3	126.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.1%

ATL +9.1%

ATL +5.7%

ATL +4.2%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	116.5	76.1	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		102.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.9		107.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	17.0	16.8	14.7	15.5
NJN	15.3	15.8	14.5	18.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	52	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	17	2	14.8	16.3	-1.54	14.9	17.6	-2.61
Al Horford	47	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	17	2	15.0	15.9	-0.93	15.5	16.6	-1.18
Jeff Teague	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	18	0	15.8	15.1	0.76	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.42	24	12	12	15.2	15.8	-0.56	16.3	15.7	0.52
Marvin Williams	41	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	21	-6	15.8	15.2	0.64	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Tracy McGrady	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.29	18	18	0	15.7	15.2	0.49	16.0	16.0	0.01
Jannero Pargo	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.31	18	18	0	15.1	15.8	-0.76	16.5	15.6	0.91
Josh Smith	32	34	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	26	-16	14.5	16.0	-1.47	16.1	16.0	0.06
Zaza Pachulia	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.29	16	20	-4	17.7	13.7	4.01	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Willie Green	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.35	17	19	-2	16.3	14.8	1.54	17.6	14.9	2.61
Jerry Stackhouse	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	13.3	15.8	-2.44	18.4	15.7	2.75
Ivan Johnson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	13.3	15.8	-2.44	18.4	15.7	2.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Horner	14	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-34	32	18.0	15.7	2.33	13.5	15.8	-2.38
Jordan Farmar	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.25	-10	-26	16	19.1	15.1	4.03	15.9	15.3	0.59
DeShawn Stevenson	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	-33	30	16.6	15.8	0.75	17.0	15.0	1.98
Shawne Williams	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.26	-13	-23	10	16.6	15.6	1.07	16.3	14.8	1.46
Shelden Williams	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.40	-19	-17	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.85	16.1	15.1	1.04
Mehmet Okur	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.27	-15	-21	6	17.6	15.0	2.61	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Anthony Morrow	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-23	10	16.2	16.0	0.18	14.3	15.9	-1.56
MarShon Brooks	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-21	6	15.6	16.6	-0.94	15.9	14.8	1.15
Sundiata Gaines	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-28	20	14.3	17.3	-3.06	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Johan Petro	34	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-18	0	15.2	16.5	-1.34	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Kris Humphries	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-18	0	15.8	16.2	-0.40	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Deron Williams	47	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	-14	-8	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.6	15.3	0.21
Damion James	47	47	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.35	-24	-12	-12	15.3	16.8	-1.57	15.6	15.3	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DEN 98, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
OKC 110, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%