NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	113		Excitement	2.5 [1256]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +8.6%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.0 [1062]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -8.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	8	94%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	80%	0.09	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	17	69%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	11	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.00	0.10	13	63%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	20	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	29.5	15.5	24.4	2.6	27.0	127.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.4%

SAS +0.9%

SAS +0.7%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	15.5	114.1	101.0	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		109.3	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	13.8	16.2	19.2	15.8
SAC	14.5	13.9	12.1	12.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-7	27	14.7	17.3	-2.54	13.9	12.5	1.42
Richard Jefferson	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	-2	17	15.6	16.0	-0.39	14.1	12.2	1.96
DeJuan Blair	72	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	6	1	16.2	14.8	1.35	13.6	12.5	1.06
Tony Parker	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	0	13	15.9	15.5	0.36	14.0	11.7	2.27
George Hill	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	14.7	16.7	-2.07	12.3	14.1	-1.88
Tiago Splitter	59	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.42	-5	18	-23	16.0	15.4	0.58	12.5	14.4	-1.89
Gary Neal	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	10	-7	16.9	14.5	2.38	12.3	14.5	-2.13
Tim Duncan	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	-2	17	14.8	16.2	-1.40	14.7	12.8	1.95
Antonio McDyess	41	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	4	5	15.5	16.0	-0.57	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Chris Quinn	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	21.2	15.5	5.72	10.2	13.5	-3.26
James Anderson	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	24	-35	18.4	15.5	2.91	11.7	13.5	-1.79

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-5	-3	13.9	13.1	0.79	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Pooh Jeter	54	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-14	15	11.9	14.9	-3.01	16.9	14.5	2.38
Darnell Jackson	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	13.2	13.4	-0.28	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Carl Landry	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.49	9	-22	31	12.5	14.4	-1.91	16.4	15.0	1.40
Samuel Dalembert	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.30	-19	6	-25	13.7	13.0	0.68	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Omri Casspi	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	0	-13	14.6	11.8	2.83	14.5	17.2	-2.69
DeMarcus Cousins	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.1	12.6	1.49	16.4	15.2	1.29
Beno Udrih	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	13.3	13.4	-0.07	15.8	15.7	0.13
Tyreke Evans	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	13.2	13.9	-0.73	16.0	15.1	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
LAC 101, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIL 117, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%