NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	2.3 [1276]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +9.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	81		Comeback	1.0 [934]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -6.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	72%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.23	0.00	0.15	10	104%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	58%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	71%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	40%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.0	32.1	15.4	25.6	2.4	24.5	127.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.6%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +0.8%

SAS +12.1%

SAS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.4	115.7	93.1	104.5
season	16.2	15.7		107.5	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.4	14.5	17.6	18.1	16.5
LAC	15.5	14.3	16.7	18.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	51	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.26	25	-3	28	16.5	16.6	-0.07	17.8	14.0	3.75
Francisco Elson	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	-2	26	16.5	16.6	-0.04	17.7	13.1	4.59
Tony Parker	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	12	-2	17.0	15.9	1.06	16.3	16.0	0.26
Bruce Bowen	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	10	2	17.4	15.3	2.09	16.1	16.3	-0.25
Manu Ginobili	40	42	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	6	10	16.3	16.7	-0.34	17.5	15.0	2.54
Beno Udrih	40	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	6	10	15.7	17.2	-1.52	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Brent Barry	46	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	19	-16	16.3	16.7	-0.40	13.8	18.7	-4.88
Michael Finley	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	15	-8	15.8	17.1	-1.28	16.4	16.1	0.29
Fabricio Oberto	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	25	-28	16.5	16.6	-0.04	12.3	18.4	-6.10
Matt Bonner	20	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	20	-18	16.1	16.7	-0.50	16.4	16.1	0.33
Eric Williams	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	18.0	16.4	1.59	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Jackie Butler	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	18.0	16.4	1.59	16.0	16.2	-0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yaroslav Korolev	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	-15	8	18.8	15.4	3.40	18.1	16.1	2.01
Tim Thomas	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-20	18	16.4	16.2	0.21	13.9	16.8	-2.93
James Singleton	36	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-17	12	16.9	15.7	1.16	16.8	16.4	0.44
Sam Cassell	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-17	12	14.5	16.7	-2.19	14.4	17.2	-2.83
Daniel Ewing	46	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-12	2	15.9	16.5	-0.57	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Paul Davis	40	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-10	-2	15.6	16.6	-0.99	16.6	16.5	0.08
Aaron Williams	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-12	2	18.5	15.0	3.54	17.5	16.1	1.45
Shaun Livingston	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-13	4	15.6	17.9	-2.31	17.0	15.3	1.61
Quinton Ross	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-2	-18	16.8	14.9	1.96	16.7	16.2	0.46
Elton Brand	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-5	-12	15.7	16.9	-1.23	16.3	16.9	-0.67
Cuttino Mobley	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-9	-4	15.4	18.1	-2.75	16.5	16.7	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 117, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 113, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DEN 98, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%