NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	4.0 [1002]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +20.1%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.1 [1248]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (DEN): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	74%	0.08	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Skal Labissiere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.03	0.02	7	95%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.01	-0.04	23	68%	0.25	5	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	10	38%	-0.03	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	34.0	15.6	25.4	2.6	27.6	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.0%

DEN +5.2%

DEN +7.1%

DEN +3.0%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.8	100.0	112.5	107.7
season	15.4	14.4		106.0	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.6		111.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.6	16.2	14.9	13.7	15.6
DEN	14.4	12.1	14.5	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	9.9	16.2	-6.34	21.1	13.6	7.46
Ben McLemore	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-11	10	15.7	15.6	0.09	16.8	13.6	3.17
Skal Labissiere	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-17	22	14.8	16.1	-1.21	16.8	12.8	4.01
Anthony Tolliver	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-10	8	16.1	15.1	0.98	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Buddy Hield	48	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-14	16	14.9	16.2	-1.29	14.4	14.4	0.02
Tyreke Evans	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-5	-2	15.5	15.6	-0.06	15.6	13.5	2.13
Kosta Koufos	52	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.1	15.9	-2.83
Arron Afflalo	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	0	-12	16.8	14.4	2.43	11.8	16.7	-4.88
Darren Collison	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.4	2.19	13.4	15.6	-2.25
Ty Lawson	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	2	-16	15.3	16.5	-1.20	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Willie Cauley-Stein	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	6	-24	15.5	15.7	-0.16	14.4	14.4	0.01

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-6	24	12.6	18.0	-5.42	17.0	12.8	4.16
Wilson Chandler	85	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	14.4	14.5	-0.04	15.3	17.8	-2.52
Mason Plumlee	63	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	1	10	13.9	15.5	-1.63	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Jameer Nelson	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-2	16	14.0	15.1	-1.11	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Gary Harris	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	14.4	14.5	-0.08	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Juan Hernangomez	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.58	16.4	15.4	1.02
Jamal Murray	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	14	-16	15.1	14.0	1.11	15.7	15.5	0.16
Darrell Arthur	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	11	-10	15.5	13.9	1.63	16.2	15.3	0.90
Will Barton	50	51	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	17	-22	16.9	11.7	5.22	15.0	16.3	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 79, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DEN 79, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%