NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	79		Excitement	4.1 [967]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +7.0%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.1 [979]		LVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): -10.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
George McCloud	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	24%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.01	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	19	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	21	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.05
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	12	71%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	11	23%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	28.9	15.5	22.5	2.4	26.7	120.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.6%

DAL +4.0%

DAL +15.9%

DAL +10.0%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	17.0	15.5	85.9	104.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		101.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.8	14.9	16.5	10.4	14.2
DAL	20.1	14.5	17.8	16.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	8.3	14.6	-6.36	12.1	17.3	-5.21
Ryan Bowen	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	7.8	15.5	-7.69	17.3	16.9	0.43
Kevin Willis	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-16	14	13.3	15.5	-2.17	17.6	16.0	1.66
Mark Strickland	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-12	6	11.2	16.0	-4.78	17.0	16.9	0.02
Robert Pack	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	11.2	16.7	-5.47	16.0	17.8	-1.74
George McCloud	42	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-6	-6	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.9	17.8	-1.84
Antonio McDyess	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	16.0	11.2	4.78	16.9	17.0	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	16.7	11.2	5.47	17.7	16.0	1.75
James Posey	60	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-12	6	13.6	15.3	-1.71	17.7	15.5	2.11
Raef LaFrentz	37	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	-2	-14	15.5	13.3	2.17	16.0	17.6	-1.66
Nick Van Exel	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	2	-22	16.6	9.7	6.92	17.4	16.2	1.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	1	16	16.2	20.2	-4.05	13.6	16.6	-3.04
Michael Finley	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	6	6	17.7	13.3	4.32	14.5	12.6	1.87
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	4	10	17.6	14.7	2.92	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Howard Eisley	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	-1	20	16.8	17.2	-0.38	15.9	12.1	3.80
Loy Vaught	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	1	16	16.0	17.7	-1.62	15.3	13.2	2.10
Christian Laettner	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	5	8	17.5	16.4	1.03	15.5	12.8	2.72
Shawn Bradley	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	11	-4	16.5	17.7	-1.24	12.6	16.5	-3.98
Courtney Alexander	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	19	-20	18.3	16.5	1.78	15.0	13.9	1.16
Donnell Harvey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	9.7	17.3	-7.53	8.0	14.4	-6.44
Gary Trent	21	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	24	-30	17.1	16.9	0.24	10.9	15.1	-4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 67, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 96, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%