NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	4.4 [926]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): +9.2%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	1.0 [944]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -11.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	15	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	56%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	13	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	16	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	-0.07	14	13%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	14	79%	0.19	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	15	42%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	17	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	5	20%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	28.8	15.6	26.4	1.7	29.0	128.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.0%

GSW +12.6%

GSW +14.7%

PHX -10.2%

GSW +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	15.5	98.0	113.0	101.6
season	15.0	14.6		101.1	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	17.9	16.4	13.4	15.3
GSW	12.6	12.6	14.9	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	31	30	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	14.4	15.8	-1.35	14.7	12.9	1.74
Randy Brown	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-24	33	10.2	15.9	-5.72	14.1	13.4	0.72
Casey Jacobsen	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	11.3	16.1	-4.73	13.5	13.4	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-13	11	15.2	15.4	-0.20	11.3	13.6	-2.25
Bo Outlaw	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-19	23	15.1	15.4	-0.32	14.4	13.2	1.23
Dan Langhi	28	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-20	25	15.1	15.4	-0.29	13.7	13.4	0.34
Anfernee Hardaway	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-6	-3	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.8	12.2	2.66
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	14.9	16.6	-1.65	13.1	14.2	-1.11
Scott Williams	40	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	3	-21	16.2	14.7	1.50	12.0	14.4	-2.38
Shawn Marion	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	3	-21	15.7	12.8	2.84	13.5	12.9	0.61
Joe Johnson	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	6	-27	16.3	14.0	2.21	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Stephon Marbury	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	8	-31	15.8	13.5	2.25	13.2	14.5	-1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	1	13	13.3	13.7	-0.38	15.5	15.2	0.29
Gilbert Arenas	59	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-1	17	13.3	13.6	-0.31	15.5	15.1	0.45
Antawn Jamison	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.19	22	-7	29	13.7	12.2	1.53	15.5	14.5	1.06
Jason Richardson	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	1	13	13.3	13.7	-0.45	15.7	14.6	1.16
Adonal Foyle	68	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	5	5	13.5	13.2	0.29	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Erick Dampier	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	10	-5	13.2	13.5	-0.29	15.5	15.3	0.16
Bob Sura	41	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	13	-11	13.6	13.3	0.31	15.8	15.1	0.69
Earl Boykins	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	14	-13	13.9	13.1	0.83	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Mike Dunleavy	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	17	-19	13.2	13.6	-0.41	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Jiri Welsch	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	11.3	13.6	-2.25	11.0	15.6	-4.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 79, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 87, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 76, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%