NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	5.6 [717]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +23.4%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.4 [505]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -17.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.07	0.00	14	75%	0.23	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.07	15	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	18	32%	-0.09	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	15	51%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	29.7	15.0	25.0	1.8	40.2	137.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.1%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +9.0%

MEM -1.6%

DAL +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	14.8	108.7	110.6	107.7
season	16.1	16.2		106.4	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.9		107.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	17.3	16.3	13.1	15.7
DAL	15.5	15.4	16.5	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-7	10	11.2	16.2	-4.95	20.9	14.7	6.19
Troy Daniels	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-8	12	16.0	15.5	0.52	12.8	16.4	-3.60
JaMychal Green	52	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-7	10	15.2	16.2	-1.00	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Toney Douglas	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-2	0	16.7	15.0	1.66	16.2	14.7	1.55
Zach Randolph	51	52	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	17.2	13.9	3.30	16.4	13.9	2.54
Vince Carter	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-9	14	15.5	15.9	-0.34	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Chandler Parsons	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	4	-12	16.2	15.2	0.97	15.4	15.2	0.20
Tony Allen	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	4	-12	15.4	15.9	-0.53	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Mike Conley	68	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	14.9	18.0	-3.08	15.7	14.0	1.76
Marc Gasol	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	6	-16	15.6	16.0	-0.47	14.6	17.7	-3.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.22	10	-6	16	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Yogi Ferrell	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	3	-2	14.3	16.9	-2.55	14.7	17.4	-2.71
Seth Curry	74	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	15.6	13.9	1.70	14.7	19.0	-4.30
Harrison Barnes	74	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	15.6	13.9	1.70	14.7	19.0	-4.30
Dirk Nowitzki	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	-1	6	15.2	15.4	-0.18	16.0	15.2	0.85
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	11	-18	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.7	15.7	0.05
Devin Harris	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	3	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.14	18.1	14.7	3.38
Nicolas Brussino	8	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	13.0	15.5	-2.50	18.9	15.4	3.43
Quinn Cook	28	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	16.4	14.8	1.63	18.0	14.8	3.23
Salah Mejri	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.88	18.6	15.0	3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%