NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	4.8 [844]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +14.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	1.4 [671]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -26.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	69%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	66%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.08	-0.00	14	23%	-0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	20	64%	0.18	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.00	11	79%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	8	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	27.2	15.6	28.0	1.8	34.2	130.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.6%

SEA +11.0%

SEA +3.8%

SEA +16.1%

MIN -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	17.7	15.5	95.4	105.7	101.6
season	14.9	16.5		104.0	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	16.8	14.0	14.9	15.4
SEA	17.4	18.4	16.1	19.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	19	19	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-16	23	15.9	15.2	0.71	18.9	17.4	1.58
Gary Trent	8	8	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	17.2	15.2	2.05	18.5	17.6	0.87
Rasho Nesterovic	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-9	9	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.9	17.1	0.81
Joe Smith	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.71	16.4	18.0	-1.56
Kevin Garnett	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.8	18.8	-3.97	18.2	15.2	3.01
Marc Jackson	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	0	-9	18.6	14.8	3.88	15.2	18.2	-3.01
Wally Szczerbiak	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	16.0	13.6	2.48	17.6	18.0	-0.44
Anthony Peeler	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	14.3	19.2	-4.89	18.0	16.7	1.31
Kendall Gill	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	0	-9	16.1	14.7	1.41	17.4	18.0	-0.61
Troy Hudson	68	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	7	-23	15.2	15.9	-0.71	17.4	18.9	-1.58

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	17.2	20.1	-2.90	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Rashard Lewis	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	18.2	15.8	2.42	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Brent Barry	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	17.9	16.8	1.10	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Kevin Ollie	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	18.3	16.6	1.71	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jerome James	24	23	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	16.5	18.2	-1.62	16.4	15.0	1.42
Predrag Drobnjak	44	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	3	3	16.5	19.0	-2.55	15.6	15.2	0.37
Reggie Evans	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	6	-3	17.0	18.2	-1.22	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	17.8	17.7	0.13	16.1	14.9	1.21
Elden Campbell	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	10	-11	20.2	16.8	3.45	16.5	15.0	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.0%
SAC 79, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MEM 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1	94.6%