NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	7.0 [456]		MVP	Langston Galloway (NOP): +11.9%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	4.0 [422]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -15.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	8	53%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.04	12	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.03	24	56%	0.09	6	-0.18	9	100%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	14	52%	-0.00	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.07	0.02	14	64%	0.20	7	-0.17	16	87%	0.07
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	16	54%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	32.2	14.5	23.4	1.8	36.2	136.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.7%

SAC +11.1%

SAC +2.8%

SAC +10.8%

NOP -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	12.3	16.0	14.8	98.0	102.9	107.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.1	106.0
opponent	14.6	15.0		110.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.4	11.8	12.9	12.4	12.3
SAC	18.1	14.4	15.9	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	27	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.01	3	-9	12	13.3	12.0	1.30	17.6	15.4	2.20
Tim Frazier	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	4	-14	11.0	12.8	-1.77	16.2	15.9	0.26
Tyreke Evans	32	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	11.2	12.9	-1.74	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Jrue Holiday	84	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-3	0	12.7	10.6	2.04	16.1	15.6	0.46
Dante Cunningham	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	0	-6	13.0	10.3	2.69	16.7	13.9	2.74
Solomon Hill	75	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	12.1	13.0	-0.83	16.2	15.6	0.59
Anthony Davis	88	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-5	4	12.1	13.8	-1.72	15.7	17.9	-2.26
Donatas Motiejunas	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	0	-6	12.4	12.3	0.04	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Langston Galloway	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	12.3	12.4	-0.01	15.2	17.0	-1.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	89	88	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.34	15	-9	24	15.8	17.6	-1.84	12.1	14.1	-1.99
Anthony Tolliver	50	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	16.1	16.0	0.10	12.8	11.9	0.93
Matt Barnes	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	3	0	15.5	17.1	-1.62	12.8	11.2	1.62
Arron Afflalo	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	5	-4	15.9	16.3	-0.40	11.9	13.3	-1.32
Willie Cauley-Stein	37	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	2	2	16.5	15.8	0.71	12.5	12.3	0.23
DeMarcus Cousins	75	77	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	5	-4	15.9	16.3	-0.44	12.6	11.6	0.95
Ben McLemore	59	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-1	8	15.9	16.1	-0.14	12.6	12.0	0.55
Malachi Richardson	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.8	0.74	11.4	12.7	-1.30
Kosta Koufos	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	17.3	15.4	1.96	11.8	12.6	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.97,1	94.1%
ATL 88, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.84,1	93.0%
MIA 80, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	91.9%