NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	6.8 [489]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): +22.7%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	3.5 [596]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (TOR): -6.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	9	82%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.10	0.02	20	62%	0.23	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Noah Vonleh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	72%	0.12	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	38%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.03
Shabazz Napier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	19	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	15	60%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.09	0.05	16	69%	0.28	4	-0.12	16	94%	0.08
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	8	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	32.5	15.6	23.1	2.3	40.6	143.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +52.3%

POR -4.5%

POR -0.3%

TOR +5.2%

POR -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	14.8	110.4	115.5	107.7
season	14.9	15.2		108.6	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.2	16.8	16.1	14.0	14.7
TOR	14.9	13.2	15.9	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	39	41	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-10	14	14.9	14.6	0.34	16.4	14.2	2.28
Shabazz Napier	20	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-7	8	16.7	14.2	2.57	13.7	15.5	-1.79
Allen Crabbe	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	14.6	15.0	-0.38	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Jusuf Nurkic	49	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-5	4	13.8	15.6	-1.80	15.5	14.7	0.77
Meyers Leonard	46	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	15.5	14.0	1.42	13.8	16.1	-2.32
Damian Lillard	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.7	13.5	2.21
Maurice Harkless	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	1	-8	14.0	16.6	-2.60	15.9	12.8	3.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.5	16.2	-1.68
CJ McCollum	71	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	10	-26	14.9	14.1	0.86	14.6	16.7	-2.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	43	43	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	14.4	15.7	-1.22	13.8	15.5	-1.72
DeMar DeRozan	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-3	12	15.3	14.5	0.79	13.8	17.8	-4.02
DeMarre Carroll	66	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	2	2	15.4	14.5	0.94	14.7	14.7	0.08
Delon Wright	30	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	1	4	14.0	15.6	-1.68	16.5	13.9	2.64
Serge Ibaka	70	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	4	-2	15.6	13.9	1.71	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Jakob Poeltl	11	12	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	1	4	15.8	15.0	0.78	15.7	14.6	1.18
Cory Joseph	67	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	5	-4	15.6	14.0	1.68	13.9	16.5	-2.64
Patrick Patterson	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	4	-2	14.9	15.3	-0.37	16.0	13.9	2.08
Jonas Valanciunas	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	15.7	14.7	1.02	15.1	14.4	0.77
Norman Powell	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	9	-12	14.5	15.3	-0.79	17.8	13.8	4.02
Lucas Nogueira	21	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	13	-20	12.9	15.7	-2.89	15.1	14.6	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 99, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	94.1%
MIA 80, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CHA 100, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.85,1,1,1	93.5%