NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	120		Excitement	7.9 [290]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): +29.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	7.0 [135]		LVP	Noah Vonleh (POR): -9.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	9	68%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	6	92%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.12	0.04	13	62%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.12	0.02	7	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.06	26	54%	0.18	2	-0.11	11	91%	0.04
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	12	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.12	0.01	12	79%	0.43	2	-0.13	9	78%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	20	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.08
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.04	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	18	49%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	56%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.5	32.2	16.8	27.8	2.8	36.3	144.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +17.7%

POR -1.0%

BOS +12.0%

BOS +22.6%

POR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.8	123.7	116.8	107.7
season	14.7	14.9		110.1	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.9		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.8	14.0	14.8	14.8
POR	15.9	15.3	16.0	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	77	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-6	21	14.7	14.9	-0.25	15.2	15.6	-0.48
Marcus Smart	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-1	11	14.7	15.0	-0.27	15.3	15.1	0.20
Al Horford	67	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-3	15	14.7	14.9	-0.26	15.1	15.6	-0.58
Jaylen Brown	68	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	5	-1	14.7	14.9	-0.21	14.6	16.8	-2.27
Terry Rozier	53	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-2	13	14.1	15.6	-1.49	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Tyler Zeller	12	12	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-1	11	15.7	14.6	1.04	16.7	15.0	1.71
Gerald Green	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	10	-11	14.8	14.7	0.08	15.7	15.0	0.64
Kelly Olynyk	43	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.7	14.0	1.74	15.9	14.7	1.18
Amir Johnson	30	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	15.5	14.4	1.03	15.4	15.2	0.18
James Young	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	13.3	14.9	-1.62	16.9	15.1	1.81
Jonas Jerebko	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	15	-21	14.3	14.8	-0.57	15.8	15.2	0.63

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-10	11	15.8	15.0	0.87	14.9	14.7	0.18
Pat Connaughton	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-9	9	15.4	15.2	0.23	13.6	15.3	-1.78
Meyers Leonard	35	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-9	9	14.3	15.8	-1.44	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Maurice Harkless	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.7	14.8	0.94	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Damian Lillard	78	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	14.9	16.9	-2.06	14.9	14.2	0.63
Mason Plumlee	60	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	15.8	14.3	1.44	15.5	13.6	1.94
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	60	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	15.4	15.0	0.40	15.4	13.7	1.65
Allen Crabbe	58	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	15.0	15.7	-0.74	14.6	15.1	-0.48
CJ McCollum	75	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	2	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.7	14.8	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.02,0	91.6%
CHH 98, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0	91.4%
ORL 98, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.3%